Relative Intelligence · Railroads

How CSX compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on CSX alone. It places CSX (CSX Corporation) against 9 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where CSX stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: CSX's full trading record, from October 1986 through September 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 22, 2026.
Data as of October 22, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
This page answers the following questions about CSX
Key findings
Not AI-generatedThese key findings are generated by our proprietary relative intelligence engine, directly from the data on this page.
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, CSX rose 20.4% against 8.0% for the S&P 500 and 7.8% for the Nasdaq 100. Both CSX and the S&P 500 are within a few percent of a record high. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?CSX held up far better than its industry: it rose 3.8% over the past 3 months while the railroads ETF IYT (iShares U.S. Transportation ETF) fell 6.6%. The S&P 500 rose 2.5%. CSX rose 10.9% last month as the S&P 500 fell 1.2% and the Nasdaq 100 fell 5.8%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsCSX has run far ahead of the market, rising 45.7% over the past year against 15.6% for the S&P 500 and 16.9% for the Nasdaq 100. By year ↓
- Long termCSX turned $10,000 into $58,500 over the past decade, against $41,600 in the S&P 500. Even so, the past 5 years only trailed the S&P 500 (56.1% against 80.3%), after a much stronger decade (485% against 316%). Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, CSX has typically fallen 1.3 times as far as the S&P 500. In the 2022 bear market, CSX fell harder than most of its railroad peers, including CP (Canadian Pacific Kansas City), NSC and CNI. Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, CSX has a correlation of 0.73 over 5 years, more closely than 99% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. CSX fell in 19 of the 22 months the S&P 500 fell over the past 5 years: it usually fell with it. By year ↓
- Better options
- Nearby categories and themes
- TRV (Travelers Companies, property & casualty insurance) and BRK-A (Berkshire Hathaway, insurance) earned more than CSX with less volatility over the past 5 years. TRV returned 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 9.3% a year at 23.5%.
- Versus the S&P 500
- Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 12.5% a year at 17.2% volatility, against 9.3% at 23.5% for CSX.
- Whole market
- 309 of the 3,641 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CSX with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI (Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF), VOO (Vanguard S&P 500 ETF) and BRK-A (Berkshire Hathaway).
How much would $10,000 in CSX have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in CSX over the past 29 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of CSX over the same span and CSX's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
- $10,000 invested in CSX at the end of September 1997 would have grown to $247,386 by September 2026, more than the $132,907 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Six of the eight other investments on the chart ended ahead of CSX, and ODFL finished highest, at $2,149,322.
Choose a period
From the end of September 1997 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 249 of the 1,042 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CSX; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- ODFL$2M+21,393% total · +20.3% a year
- JBHT$749,311+7,393% total · +16.0% a year
- CNI$468,127+4,581% total · +14.2% a year
- CP$436,454+4,265% total · +13.9% a year
- UNP$306,095+2,961% total · +12.5% a year
- WAB$275,358+2,654% total · +12.1% a year
- CSX$247,386+2,374% total · +11.7% a year
- NSC$171,092+1,611% total · +10.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$132,907+1,229% total · +9.3% a year
- TRN$40,975+310% total · +5.0% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,243 of the 3,630 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CSX; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- WAB$34,242+242% total · +27.9% a year
- MFC$28,001+180% total · +22.9% a year
- TRV$25,788+158% total · +20.9% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- AIZ$18,165+81.7% total · +12.7% a year
- BRK-A$18,159+81.6% total · +12.7% a year
- MET$17,726+77.3% total · +12.1% a year
- CSX$16,737+67.4% total · +10.8% a year
- NSC$14,343+43.4% total · +7.5% a year
- ODFL$12,474+24.7% total · +4.5% a year
CSX at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
- CSX's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 69.2%, from May 2008 to March 2009. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
- Over 29 full calendar years, CSX's best was 2017, when it returned 55.5%, and its worst was 2015, when it lost 26.7%. It lost money in ten of those years.
- CSX is 2.7% below its all-time high.
The company
- Market value
- $96B
- Industry
- Railroads
- Price history from
- October 1986
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +45.7%total return
- Past 3 years
- +78.7%+21.3% a year
- Past 5 years
- +56.1%+9.3% a year
- Past 10 years
- +485%+19.3% a year
- Best calendar year
- +55.5%2017
- Worst calendar year
- −26.7%2015
- Losing years
- 10 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 23.5%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.50return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −69.2%May 2008 to Mar 2009
- From its all-time high
- −2.7%below the peak
CSX against the whole market
Where CSX ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does CSX rank among all stocks?
This section ranks CSX on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how CSX stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- CSX's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 7% of the 2,184 stocks worth at least $300 million, where the top fell the least.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | CSX | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +45.7% | 625 of 3,282 | top 19% |
| 3-year return | +78.7% | 1,168 of 3,016 | top 39% |
| 5-year return | +56.1% | 1,049 of 2,897 | top 36% |
| 10-year return | +485% | 310 of 2,201 | top 14% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 23.5% | 232 of 2,897 | top 8% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.50 | 948 of 2,897 | top 33% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −40.5% | 163 of 2,184 | top 7% |
What has beaten CSX on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). CSX sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than CSX with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 46 stocks and 263 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than CSX over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 8% of the 3,641 screened.
- Among those with at least half CSX's swings, DXJ has the best return for its risk: 26.6% a year at 19.1% volatility, 19% less than CSX's 23.5%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.34 against 0.50 for CSX.
- None of CSX's popular alternatives made it, but TRV (property & casualty insurance) did: 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, 5% less than CSX's 23.5%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to CSX; faint dots are 93 more of the 309 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,641 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than CSX?
Investments that beat CSX over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TRV (property & casualty insurance) and BRK-A (insurance) earned more than CSX with less volatility over the past 5 years. TRV returned 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 9.3% a year at 23.5%.
- Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 12.5% a year at 17.2% volatility, against 9.3% at 23.5% for CSX.
- Across the whole market, 309 of the 3,641 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than CSX with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them VTI, VOO and BRK-A.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat CSX over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks CSX's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than CSX follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than CSX's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× CSX's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than CSX's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with CSX?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +9.3% | 23.5% | 0.50 | −40.5% | +485% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +12.5% | 17.2% | 0.78 | −33.7% | +316% | 0.73 | 0.09% | |||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Railroads and the categories next to it (Industrial Machinery, Freight & Logistics, Trucking, Insurance), plus CSX's specific themes. 30 of 210 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +360% | 0.48 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +13.5% | 17.2% | 0.83 | −30.4% | +281% | 0.46 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +23.3% | 24.0% | 1.00 | −57.5% | +386% | 0.50 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +12.8% | 25.4% | 0.60 | −55.2% | +248% | 0.40 | — | ||
| Higher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +11.6% | 24.3% | 0.57 | −44.4% | +552% | 0.41 | — | ||
AIZAssurant, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +13.7% | 25.3% | 0.64 | −44.6% | +322% | 0.30 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 542 of 3,448 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +41.2% | 32.8% | 1.22 | −34.5% | +1,870% | 0.06 | — | ||
IHEiShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF · Pharmaceuticals | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.9% | 16.8% | 0.81 | −29.6% | +157% | 0.39 | 0.37% | |
FTXHFirst Trust Nasdaq Pharmaceuticals ETF · Pharmaceuticals | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +12.3% | 16.9% | 0.77 | −32.1% | +155% | 0.44 | 0.60% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher return in most periods | +15.2% | 16.8% | 0.93 | −37.0% | +205% | 0.37 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +11.4% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +298% | 0.74 | 0.03% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +21.1% | 22.6% | 0.97 | −25.7% | +521% | 0.48 | — | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineSmaller losses in recent crashes | +15.2% | 23.6% | 0.72 | −32.8% | +639% | 0.55 | — | ||
| Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +10.2% | 14.4% | 0.75 | −33.4% | +256% | 0.65 | 0.06% | ||
What these numbers mean for CSX
- Annual return
- CSX returned 9.3% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.5% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $15,600. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- CSX's volatility over the past 5 years was 23.5%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.2%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CSX's return lands within 23.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- CSX's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.50, against 0.78 for the S&P 500, so CSX earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- CSX's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 40.5%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 40.5% fall takes a 68.2% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, CSX's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.73 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CSX instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CSX holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 309 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than CSX with less volatility
Out of 3,641 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with CSX | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IHEiShares U.S. Pharmaceuticals ETF · Pharmaceuticals | Whole market | +12.9% | 16.8% | 0.81 | −29.6% | +157% | 0.39 | 0.37% |
| 2 | FTXHFirst Trust Nasdaq Pharmaceuticals ETF · Pharmaceuticals | Whole market | +12.3% | 16.9% | 0.77 | −32.1% | +155% | 0.44 | 0.60% |
| 3 | Whole market | +15.2% | 16.8% | 0.93 | −37.0% | +205% | 0.37 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +11.4% | 17.5% | 0.71 | −35.0% | +298% | 0.74 | 0.03% | |
| 5 | PJPInvesco Pharmaceuticals ETF · Pharmaceuticals | Whole market | +11.3% | 16.6% | 0.73 | −34.0% | +139% | 0.35 | 0.58% |
| 6 | Whole market | +12.6% | 16.9% | 0.79 | −34.0% | +319% | 0.73 | 0.03% | |
| 7 | Whole market | +16.5% | 20.0% | 0.87 | −42.0% | +319% | 0.51 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +13.5% | 18.0% | 0.80 | −27.4% | +209% | 0.35 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +13.2% | 20.0% | 0.73 | −46.9% | +191% | 0.57 | — | |
| 10 | LVHIFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF · International Dividend Equity | Whole market | +16.9% | 11.1% | 1.48 | −32.4% | +194% | 0.57 | 0.40% |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.4% | 20.7% | 0.89 | −26.8% | +234% | 0.33 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +11.7% | 20.9% | 0.64 | −32.6% | +404% | 0.58 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +17.1% | 19.0% | 0.93 | −26.4% | +206% | 0.11 | 0.40% | |
| 14 | Whole market | +10.4% | 14.1% | 0.77 | −31.7% | +258% | 0.79 | 0.04% | |
| 15 | Whole market | +11.6% | 13.8% | 0.87 | −35.2% | +209% | 0.71 | 0.04% | |
| 16 | Whole market | +11.2% | 21.8% | 0.60 | −32.7% | +402% | 0.62 | 0.18% | |
| 17 | Whole market | +14.1% | 18.6% | 0.80 | −34.0% | +461% | 0.46 | — | |
| 18 | Same or nearby category | +22.4% | 22.3% | 1.02 | −46.3% | +360% | 0.48 | — | |
| 19 | PJULInnovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF · US Equity Buffer | Whole market | +10.4% | 8.6% | 1.20 | −18.2% | — | 0.70 | 0.79% |
| 20 | Whole market | +12.8% | 20.2% | 0.70 | −32.9% | +192% | 0.52 | — | |
| 21 | FJANFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - January · US Equity Buffer | Whole market | +11.0% | 10.5% | 1.04 | −13.6% | — | 0.62 | 0.85% |
| 22 | VLUEiShares MSCI USA Value Factor ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +16.2% | 18.4% | 0.91 | −39.5% | +286% | 0.58 | 0.15% |
| 23 | Whole market | +14.4% | 17.5% | 0.86 | −34.7% | — | 0.71 | 0.26% | |
| 24 | Whole market | +12.7% | 18.9% | 0.73 | −30.9% | +123% | 0.34 | — | |
| 25 | Same or nearby category | +13.5% | 17.2% | 0.83 | −30.4% | +281% | 0.46 | — | |
| 26 | ATOAtmos Energy Corporation · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.9% | 18.5% | 0.90 | −32.9% | +207% | 0.50 | — |
| 27 | DFIVDimensional - International Value ETF · International Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +14.8% | 16.4% | 0.93 | −25.4% | — | 0.55 | 0.27% |
| 28 | ACWIiShares MSCI ACWI ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +10.4% | 16.2% | 0.69 | −33.5% | +223% | 0.72 | 0.32% |
| 29 | SPMOInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +18.1% | 20.9% | 0.91 | −30.9% | +485% | 0.59 | 0.13% |
| 30 | IUSGiShares Core S&P U.S. Growth ETF · US Growth Equity | Whole market | +12.4% | 21.3% | 0.66 | −32.4% | +390% | 0.66 | 0.04% |
| 31 | AVLVAvantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +13.9% | 16.9% | 0.86 | −19.5% | — | 0.74 | 0.15% |
| 32 | NINiSource Inc · Gas Utilities | Whole market | +15.5% | 20.3% | 0.81 | −30.9% | +166% | 0.47 | — |
| 33 | DGRWWisdomTree U.S. Quality Dividend Growth Fund · US Dividend Equity | Whole market | +11.7% | 14.0% | 0.87 | −32.0% | +271% | 0.75 | 0.28% |
| 34 | MGVVanguard Morningstar Mega Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +12.8% | 13.4% | 0.96 | −35.4% | +247% | 0.72 | 0.05% |
| 35 | SPHQInvesco S&P 500 Quality ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +11.7% | 16.7% | 0.75 | −31.6% | +295% | 0.69 | 0.20% |
| 36 | DIVBiShares Core Dividend ETF · High Dividend Yield | Whole market | +14.6% | 15.5% | 0.96 | −36.9% | — | 0.72 | 0.05% |
| 37 | Whole market | +17.5% | 18.2% | 0.98 | −40.0% | +361% | 0.42 | — | |
| 38 | DBEFXtrackers MSCI EAFE Hedged Equity ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 13.8% | 0.95 | −32.5% | +204% | 0.68 | 0.35% |
| 39 | XLGInvesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.5% | 18.9% | 0.77 | −30.5% | +369% | 0.64 | 0.20% |
| 40 | JQUAJPMorgan U.S. Quality Factor ETF · US Quality Equity | Whole market | +13.5% | 15.7% | 0.89 | −32.9% | — | 0.74 | 0.12% |
| 41 | FBTFirst Trust NYSE Arca Biotechnology Index Fund · Biotechnology | Whole market | +10.8% | 22.2% | 0.58 | −33.3% | +205% | 0.39 | 0.55% |
| 42 | DIVOAmplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF · Covered Call Income | Whole market | +10.9% | 11.9% | 0.94 | −30.0% | — | 0.76 | 0.56% |
| 43 | CRAKVanEck Oil Refiners ETF · Oil Refining | Whole market | +19.5% | 20.9% | 0.96 | −58.8% | +325% | 0.42 | 0.61% |
| 44 | Whole market | +24.0% | 18.8% | 1.25 | −75.2% | +337% | 0.44 | — | |
| 45 | TDIVFirst Trust NASDAQ Technology Dividend Index Fund · Technology Equity | Whole market | +16.5% | 21.3% | 0.83 | −32.0% | +384% | 0.56 | 0.50% |
| 46 | IDMOInvesco S&P International Developed Momentum ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +12.8% | 18.3% | 0.76 | −31.3% | +224% | 0.66 | 0.25% |
| 47 | JMOMJPMorgan U.S. Momentum Factor ETF · US Momentum Equity | Whole market | +12.3% | 19.1% | 0.70 | −34.3% | — | 0.73 | 0.12% |
| 48 | PWBInvesco Large Cap Growth ETF · US Large-Cap Growth | Whole market | +14.0% | 22.3% | 0.70 | −32.4% | +389% | 0.63 | 0.55% |
| 49 | HFXINYLI FTSE International Equity Currency Neutral ETF · International Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +11.2% | 15.3% | 0.78 | −32.4% | +178% | 0.64 | 0.19% |
| 50 | DSTLDistillate U.S. Fundamental Stability & Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +11.7% | 16.2% | 0.77 | −33.1% | — | 0.70 | 0.39% |
| 51 | FJUNFT Vest U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - June · S&P 500 Buffer | Whole market | +10.4% | 10.6% | 0.99 | −13.3% | — | 0.72 | 0.85% |
| 52 | DDWMWisdomTree Dynamic International Equity Fund · International Dividend Equity | Whole market | +12.2% | 13.4% | 0.93 | −35.0% | +148% | 0.58 | 0.40% |
| 53 | QUSState Street SPDR MSCI USA StrategicFactors ETF · US Multifactor Equity | Whole market | +11.1% | 14.2% | 0.81 | −33.8% | +276% | 0.76 | 0.15% |
| 54 | FFLCFidelity Fundamental Large Cap Core ETF · Active Core Equity | Whole market | +15.5% | 16.8% | 0.94 | −19.7% | — | 0.69 | 0.38% |
| 55 | IUSInvesco RAFI Strategic US ETF · US Total Market | Whole market | +14.7% | 14.9% | 1.00 | −34.7% | — | 0.75 | 0.19% |
| 56 | RAAXVanEck Real Assets ETF · Real Assets | Whole market | +11.5% | 15.7% | 0.78 | −33.9% | — | 0.60 | 0.55% |
| 57 | DBAInvesco DB Agriculture Fund · Agricultural Commodities | Whole market | +10.8% | 13.8% | 0.81 | −35.3% | +58.9% | 0.07 | 0.90% |
| 58 | INFLHorizon Kinetics Inflation Beneficiaries ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +11.6% | 17.8% | 0.71 | −21.3% | — | 0.62 | 0.85% |
| 59 | BKIEBNY Mellon International Equity ETF · Developed International Equity | Whole market | +11.4% | 16.4% | 0.74 | −28.2% | — | 0.64 | 0.04% |
| 60 | USXFiShares ESG Advanced MSCI USA ETF · Large-Cap ESG | Whole market | +12.7% | 20.2% | 0.69 | −29.6% | — | 0.70 | 0.10% |
| 61 | DBJPXtrackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF · Japan Equity | Whole market | +20.9% | 19.3% | 1.09 | −31.3% | +339% | 0.49 | 0.45% |
| 62 | PPHVanEck Pharmaceutical ETF · Pharmaceuticals | Whole market | +11.6% | 15.8% | 0.78 | −29.7% | +158% | 0.39 | 0.36% |
| 63 | FTQIFirst Trust Nasdaq BuyWrite Income ETF · Nasdaq Options Income | Whole market | +11.4% | 14.8% | 0.81 | −19.5% | +118% | 0.61 | 0.75% |
| 64 | UTESVirtus Reaves Utilities ETF · Utilities Equity | Whole market | +13.4% | 21.1% | 0.71 | −35.4% | +211% | 0.63 | 0.49% |
| 65 | EQLALPS Equal Sector Weight ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.4% | 14.5% | 0.94 | −34.2% | +385% | 0.78 | 0.19% |
| 66 | HLALWahed FTSE USA Shariah ETF · Faith-Based Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 18.0% | 0.80 | −33.6% | — | 0.66 | 0.50% |
| 67 | EWJViShares MSCI Japan Value ETF · Japan Equity | Whole market | +15.1% | 18.2% | 0.87 | −30.1% | — | 0.42 | 0.15% |
| 68 | DGTState Street SPDR Global Dow ETF · Global Equity | Whole market | +13.9% | 15.1% | 0.95 | −34.4% | +260% | 0.66 | 0.50% |
| 69 | DBEUXtrackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity ETF · European Equity | Whole market | +11.0% | 14.4% | 0.80 | −34.5% | +177% | 0.65 | 0.46% |
| 70 | SIXAETC 6 Meridian Mega Cap Equity ETF · US Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +12.9% | 12.7% | 1.02 | −18.4% | — | 0.66 | 0.31% |
| 71 | QSPTFT Vest Nasdaq-100 Buffer ETF - September · Nasdaq-100 Buffer | Whole market | +11.9% | 14.9% | 0.83 | −22.6% | — | 0.60 | 0.90% |
| 72 | DXJWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund · Japan Equity | Whole market | +26.6% | 19.1% | 1.34 | −39.1% | +415% | 0.46 | 0.48% |
| 73 | FXUFirst Trust Utilities AlphaDEX Fund · Utilities Equity | Whole market | +11.6% | 16.7% | 0.75 | −34.8% | +143% | 0.61 | 0.61% |
| 74 | VSLUApplied Finance Valuation Large Cap ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +13.7% | 16.2% | 0.88 | −23.8% | — | 0.73 | 0.49% |
| 75 | DJDInvesco Dow Jones Industrial Average Dividend ETF · High Dividend Yield | Whole market | +12.5% | 13.3% | 0.95 | −34.7% | +233% | 0.65 | 0.07% |
| 76 | EBFEnnis, Inc. · Business Services | Whole market | +11.5% | 21.4% | 0.62 | −35.4% | +167% | 0.31 | — |
| 77 | Whole market | +19.8% | 22.3% | 0.93 | −42.5% | +357% | 0.30 | — | |
| 78 | Whole market | +19.4% | 22.0% | 0.92 | −56.1% | +110% | 0.17 | — | |
| 79 | Whole market | +18.3% | 21.4% | 0.90 | −53.7% | +133% | 0.30 | — | |
| 80 | Whole market | +19.5% | 21.6% | 0.94 | −47.3% | +409% | 0.53 | — | |
| 81 | Whole market | +16.3% | 17.1% | 0.98 | −58.1% | +178% | 0.47 | — | |
| 82 | Whole market | +14.0% | 21.4% | 0.72 | −51.0% | +304% | 0.56 | — | |
| 83 | Whole market | +20.1% | 22.3% | 0.94 | −55.1% | +159% | 0.45 | — | |
| 84 | Whole market | +12.3% | 18.9% | 0.71 | −38.4% | +178% | 0.36 | — | |
| 85 | Whole market | +11.6% | 20.8% | 0.63 | −37.4% | +334% | 0.31 | — | |
| 86 | Whole market | +13.2% | 20.8% | 0.70 | −51.6% | +188% | 0.42 | — | |
| 87 | Whole market | +12.3% | 19.4% | 0.70 | −54.4% | +33.3% | -0.07 | — | |
| 88 | Whole market | +13.5% | 22.2% | 0.68 | −42.7% | +466% | 0.70 | — | |
| 89 | Whole market | +10.9% | 21.9% | 0.58 | −41.6% | +165% | 0.44 | — | |
| 90 | Whole market | +11.6% | 14.2% | 0.85 | −36.9% | +219% | 0.73 | 0.04% | |
| 91 | SDCIUSCF SummerHaven Dynamic Commodity Strategy No K-1 Fund · Broad Commodities | Whole market | +21.1% | 18.4% | 1.14 | −45.7% | — | 0.20 | 0.80% |
| 92 | TPYPTortoise North American Pipeline ETF · Energy Infrastructure | Whole market | +17.2% | 17.3% | 1.01 | −51.9% | +188% | 0.57 | 0.40% |
| 93 | FNDFSchwab Fundamental International Large Company Index ETF · International Large-Cap Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 16.3% | 0.87 | −40.2% | +193% | 0.58 | 0.25% |
| 94 | VYMIVanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF · International Dividend Equity | Whole market | +13.2% | 14.8% | 0.92 | −40.0% | +174% | 0.57 | 0.07% |
| 95 | XLIState Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF · US Industrials | Whole market | +11.4% | 17.6% | 0.70 | −42.3% | +246% | 0.80 | 0.08% |
| 96 | PBAPembina Pipeline Corporation · Oil & Gas Midstream | Whole market | +13.8% | 21.6% | 0.71 | −70.9% | +173% | 0.52 | — |
| 97 | PVALPutnam Focused Large Cap Value ETF · US Large-Cap Value | Whole market | +15.9% | 15.1% | 1.06 | −41.3% | — | 0.76 | 0.56% |
| 98 | CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +12.0% | 19.7% | 0.68 | −59.8% | +149% | 0.44 | — |
| 99 | AVUVAvantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF · US Small-Cap Value | Whole market | +10.7% | 22.1% | 0.57 | −49.4% | — | 0.65 | 0.25% |
| 100 | AVDVAvantis International Small Cap Value ETF · International Equity | Whole market | +13.6% | 17.4% | 0.82 | −43.0% | — | 0.56 | 0.36% |
CSX against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against CSX, compared period by period and year by year.
How do CSX's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at CSX, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- None of the nine popular alternatives earned more than CSX over the past 5 years with smaller price swings, so every higher return on the map came with a bumpier ride.
- Six of the nine popular alternatives earned less than CSX over the past 5 years while swinging more, the weaker corner of the map.
- Over the past 5 years, CSX returned 9.3% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.5%, with higher volatility (23.5% against 17.2%).
Green points earned more than CSX with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | +25.2% | 26.3% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.5% | 17.2% |
| CSX This pageCSX Corporation | +9.3% | 23.5% |
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | +7.0% | 22.9% |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | +5.6% | 24.9% |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | +4.3% | 24.1% |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | +4.3% | 32.8% |
| ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | +3.9% | 36.9% |
| TRN Trinity Industries, Inc. | +1.2% | 35.7% |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | +0.5% | 21.9% |
| GBX The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | −0.5% | 42.2% |
Has CSX consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares CSX with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than CSX helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the nine popular alternatives outperformed CSX in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was WAB.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than CSX over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| CSX CSX Corporation (this page) | — | +10.9% | +3.8% | +20.4% | +43.7% | +45.7% | +78.7% | +56.1% | +485% | 23.5% | 0.50 | −40.5% | — | $96B | — |
| WAB RailroadsWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | 0/5 short2/3 long | −4.6% | −4.5% | +6.0% | +28.3% | +43.6% | +184% | +208% | +258% | 26.3% | 0.99 | −64.1% | — | $47B | — |
| ODFL TruckingOld Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 0/5 short1/3 long | +7.1% | −18.3% | −13.4% | +19.8% | +35.5% | −0.3% | +21.1% | +738% | 36.9% | 0.29 | −45.2% | — | $39B | — |
| NSC RailroadsNorfolk Southern Corporation | 0/5 short1/3 long | +7.7% | +2.6% | +14.3% | +19.0% | +19.2% | +83.0% | +31.1% | +345% | 24.9% | 0.34 | −44.4% | — | $76B | — |
| UNP RailroadsUnion Pacific Corporation | 0/5 short0/3 long | +8.6% | +2.4% | +20.7% | +30.5% | +35.1% | +53.3% | +40.4% | +313% | 22.9% | 0.41 | −38.7% | — | $177B | — |
| CP RailroadsCanadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | 0/5 short0/3 long | +3.2% | −0.5% | +10.6% | +22.5% | +19.5% | +31.5% | +23.7% | +240% | 24.1% | 0.30 | −33.7% | — | $80B | — |
| JBHT Integrated Freight & LogisticsJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −2.9% | −21.0% | −6.3% | +17.8% | +38.0% | +37.5% | +23.4% | +221% | 32.8% | 0.29 | −42.4% | — | $22B | — |
| CNI RailroadsCanadian National Railway Company | 0/5 short0/3 long | +4.5% | −1.8% | +15.4% | +26.7% | +33.1% | +26.6% | +2.5% | +131% | 21.9% | 0.13 | −29.1% | — | $76B | — |
| TRN RailroadsTrinity Industries, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −6.1% | −27.5% | −15.6% | −0.2% | −3.7% | +36.8% | +6.1% | +114% | 35.7% | 0.21 | −45.2% | — | $2.1B | — |
| GBX RailroadsThe Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | 0/5 short0/3 long | −9.9% | −24.2% | −18.7% | −16.3% | −12.5% | +2.2% | −2.3% | +42.7% | 42.2% | 0.20 | −78.7% | — | $1.2B | — |
How did CSX do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where CSX ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with CSX and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
- CSX finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 17 of its 29 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, CSX finished in the top quarter in nine of 29 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 3 of 10.
- Among its popular alternatives, ODFL came out ahead of CSX most often, in 18 of the 29 years both traded.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of CSX; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places CSX among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of CSX | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSX This pageCSX Corporation | — | +14.2% | −5.6% | +13.5% | −16.6% | +25.7% | +27.1% | +18.0% | +14.5% | +55.5% | +42.1% | −26.7% | +28.4% | +49.3% | −3.9% | −0.2% | +35.7% | +53.2% | −24.9% | +29.6% | +37.0% | +27.9% | +12.4% | +30.5% | −18.6% | +38.2% | −12.8% | −22.5% | −21.1% | +30.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 9 of 29 | 3 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 6 of 10 | 3 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 1 of 10 | 1 of 10 | 2 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 10 of 10 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 10 | 1 of 10 | 3 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 9 of 10 | 4 of 10 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 10 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 10 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 12 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | 13 of 29 | +13.2% | +50.1% | +28.0% | +9.1% | +26.5% | −5.2% | +11.5% | −13.3% | −1.4% | +17.3% | −17.9% | +17.3% | +70.1% | +25.4% | +32.4% | +29.7% | +2.8% | +15.6% | +13.5% | +13.1% | +26.5% | +25.4% | +21.8% | +14.6% | +4.9% | −33.5% | −27.2% | −4.5% | +104% |
| ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 18 of 29 | −10.5% | −12.5% | +43.5% | −20.5% | +84.2% | +54.8% | +54.3% | −5.8% | +53.9% | +45.3% | −23.9% | +46.5% | +54.6% | +26.9% | +26.6% | +56.2% | +7.9% | +23.5% | −4.4% | −10.5% | +16.1% | +53.7% | +78.3% | +125% | +33.5% | −11.6% | −5.5% | −25.4% | +43.5% |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | 13 of 29 | +25.7% | +1.6% | −1.6% | −15.6% | +27.3% | +24.8% | +32.4% | +5.2% | +36.8% | +31.5% | −20.3% | +20.8% | +54.2% | −12.7% | +18.8% | +22.8% | +15.2% | −4.8% | +2.2% | +13.8% | +25.6% | +55.3% | +20.2% | +10.4% | +39.5% | −31.8% | −33.5% | +6.6% | +6.6% |
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | 13 of 29 | +3.9% | −5.1% | +21.6% | −15.9% | +23.3% | +17.6% | +33.7% | +5.3% | +32.3% | +36.0% | −32.9% | +44.5% | +36.3% | +21.2% | +16.7% | +47.6% | +36.6% | −22.7% | +38.3% | +15.8% | +21.8% | −1.3% | +17.9% | +6.5% | +14.0% | +18.7% | −1.5% | −26.8% | +7.0% |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | 12 of 29 | +2.6% | −7.8% | +6.8% | +4.5% | +4.7% | +37.4% | +45.1% | −1.8% | +29.4% | +13.0% | −33.3% | +28.3% | +50.5% | +52.7% | +6.5% | +22.2% | +64.1% | −47.1% | +24.2% | +27.5% | +23.9% | +24.6% | +45.2% | +3.5% | +40.6% | +35.6% | +17.3% | −29.0% | +4.1% |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 16 of 29 | +15.2% | −13.8% | +15.6% | −13.9% | +50.6% | +18.1% | +26.8% | −18.4% | +19.6% | +33.8% | −12.0% | +10.1% | +30.2% | +34.2% | +11.8% | +28.2% | +24.8% | −3.4% | +34.4% | −6.9% | +2.1% | +66.5% | +84.3% | +26.4% | +38.0% | +21.6% | −38.9% | +23.8% | +35.7% |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | 14 of 29 | −0.1% | −17.5% | +7.8% | −1.4% | +13.7% | +23.6% | +24.3% | −8.6% | +24.4% | +22.8% | −17.6% | +22.6% | +27.3% | +17.9% | +20.3% | +24.4% | +51.4% | −20.1% | +10.9% | +9.2% | +32.6% | +47.4% | +55.3% | −12.3% | +65.5% | +14.8% | +4.3% | +11.6% | +26.8% |
| TRN Trinity Industries, Inc. | 11 of 29 | −21.5% | +37.2% | −6.2% | +1.5% | +17.9% | +23.8% | +11.1% | −22.4% | +37.1% | +18.0% | −12.9% | +3.7% | +54.1% | +20.9% | +14.2% | +55.1% | +13.3% | −42.6% | −20.6% | +20.6% | +30.2% | +11.5% | +64.6% | −29.0% | +12.2% | −9.0% | −24.7% | −12.2% | +21.4% |
| GBX The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | 13 of 29 | −21.3% | +41.3% | +36.3% | −24.8% | +29.4% | +17.7% | −15.5% | −24.3% | +30.8% | +31.9% | −38.4% | +64.4% | +103% | −33.4% | +15.6% | +102% | +51.8% | −68.3% | −24.9% | +6.7% | −15.3% | +103% | +135% | −1.6% | −8.8% | −0.2% | −36.6% | −17.1% | +69.8% |
Risk and diversification
How CSX has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were CSX's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents CSX's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1986, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
- In all four of CSX's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: CSX fell 65.1% from July 1997 to June 2000, while the S&P 500 rose 60.9%.
- The slowest recovery came after CSX fell 65.1% from July 1997 to June 2000; it did not regain that peak until December 2005, six years later.
Green means CSX fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | CSX fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 financial crisis | −69.2% | −50.4% | May 2008 | Mar 2009 | 10 months | Jan 2011 | 22 months |
| Dot-com bust | −65.1% | +60.9% | Jul 1997 | Jun 2000 | 2.9 years | Dec 2005 | 5.5 years |
| No named crash | −44.4% | — | Aug 1987 | Oct 1987 | 2 months | Aug 1989 | 22 months |
| 2015 China and oil sell-off | −40.8% | −7.2% | Nov 2014 | Jan 2016 | 14 months | Dec 2016 | 11 months |
| Covid crash | −40.5% | −33.4% | Feb 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 month | Sep 2020 | 6 months |
How did CSX do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far CSX, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
- CSX fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when CSX fell 69.2% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- Among its popular alternatives, CNI held up best, falling less than CSX in eight of the ten crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than CSX.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSX This pageCSX Corporation | — | −4.0% | −29.4% | −40.5% | −21.4% | −8.7% | −26.5% | −27.4% | −0.9% | −69.2% | −37.5% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | 5 of 10 | −6.4% | −18.9% | −48.3% | −37.9% | −2.9% | −40.5% | −26.1% | −2.4% | −60.8% | −33.7% |
| ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 4 of 10 | −6.0% | −34.5% | −28.6% | −28.4% | −10.3% | −31.0% | −26.2% | −3.6% | −50.7% | −33.3% |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | 4 of 10 | −4.0% | −28.4% | −43.6% | −23.8% | −5.6% | −31.7% | −21.1% | −2.1% | −62.9% | −39.9% |
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | 5 of 10 | −4.2% | −29.8% | −37.5% | −21.9% | −4.8% | −28.7% | −23.4% | −1.5% | −59.5% | −25.6% |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | 6 of 10 | −3.0% | −19.9% | −32.9% | −24.4% | −4.3% | −35.1% | −29.8% | −0.4% | −65.4% | −35.7% |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 6 of 10 | −5.5% | −28.8% | −31.5% | −26.6% | −3.0% | −18.8% | −24.8% | −2.4% | −53.1% | −50.9% |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | 8 of 10 | −1.3% | −21.0% | −27.3% | −22.1% | −5.1% | −23.9% | −19.3% | −0.5% | −46.7% | −30.6% |
| TRN Trinity Industries, Inc. | 2 of 10 | −11.7% | −38.5% | −34.4% | −30.8% | −5.4% | −32.8% | −43.3% | −4.6% | −83.9% | −45.9% |
| GBX The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | 1 of 10 | −12.0% | −53.9% | −50.1% | −41.2% | −5.9% | −53.6% | −51.5% | −8.0% | −93.5% | −56.9% |
How closely does CSX move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares CSX with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Only ODFL had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than CSX's 1.00, out of nine popular alternatives with the same record.
- ODFL took just 107% of the S&P 500's losses, against 117% for CSX, while still keeping 127% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, CSX captured 118% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 117% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 1.19. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than CSX's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSX This pageCSX Corporation | 118% | 117% | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. | 127% | 107% | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| WAB Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation | 111% | 127% | 0.87 | 1.28 |
| UNP Union Pacific Corporation | 104% | 119% | 0.87 | 1.05 |
| CP Canadian Pacific Kansas City Ltd. | 96% | 113% | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| NSC Norfolk Southern Corporation | 123% | 147% | 0.84 | 1.30 |
| JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | 109% | 137% | 0.79 | 1.18 |
| CNI Canadian National Railway Company | 80% | 105% | 0.77 | 0.89 |
| TRN Trinity Industries, Inc. | 110% | 165% | 0.67 | 1.38 |
| GBX The Greenbrier Companies, Inc. | 124% | 211% | 0.59 | 1.50 |
What diversifies CSX?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with CSX's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing CSX with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in CSX into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 17% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+10.8% for CSX alone, +13.1% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, GCOW and SMH have moved largely independently of CSX over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- CAH made money in seven of the ten calendar years in which CSX lost money.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which CSX lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% CSX and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2015 | 2012 | 2011 | 2008 | 2002 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSX CSX Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +56.1% | 0.50 | −5.6% | −16.6% | −26.7% | −3.9% | −0.2% | −24.9% | −18.6% | −12.8% | −22.5% | −21.1% | 25.8% | +10.8% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.46 | +225% | 1.34 | +29.8% | +6.0% | +7.7% | +19.6% | −16.1% | −20.8% | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | +14.4% |
| GCOW InternationalPacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF | 0.46 | +95.7% | 1.06 | +3.5% | +5.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.2% | +11.8% |
| SMH TechnologyVanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.49 | +304% | 0.94 | +39.1% | −33.5% | −0.3% | +8.6% | +6.8% | −44.7% | −47.0% | — | — | — | 24.8% | +16.6% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.34 | +178% | 0.94 | +5.6% | +64.4% | −21.5% | +5.2% | +2.8% | −39.0% | −14.8% | +24.4% | +18.1% | — | 22.9% | +14.0% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.11 | +120% | 0.93 | +26.7% | −0.8% | −10.7% | +6.6% | +9.6% | +4.9% | — | — | — | — | 21.3% | +13.1% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.44 | +114% | 0.90 | +22.8% | +25.5% | −25.7% | +1.9% | +10.2% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.5% | +12.8% |
| EUFN InternationaliShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF | 0.48 | +130% | 0.88 | +17.2% | −8.8% | −4.7% | +35.4% | −26.6% | — | — | — | — | — | 22.9% | +13.3% |
| EWT TechnologyiShares MSCI Taiwan ETF | 0.48 | +147% | 0.87 | +16.1% | −28.9% | −12.9% | +18.6% | −21.8% | −45.3% | −24.4% | — | — | — | 23.5% | +13.5% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2024 | 2022 | 2015 | 2012 | 2011 | 2008 | 2002 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSX CSX Corporation (this page) | 1.00 | +56.1% | 0.50 | −5.6% | −16.6% | −26.7% | −3.9% | −0.2% | −24.9% | −18.6% | −12.8% | −22.5% | −21.1% | 25.8% | +10.8% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.38 | +471% | 1.54 | +19.0% | +54.1% | +12.6% | +3.8% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −8.3% | +108% | −36.8% | +51.7% | 23.2% | +16.5% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.34 | +2,780% | 1.43 | +215% | +1.3% | −6.0% | +11.2% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −65.1% | −2.3% | +350% | — | 27.0% | +28.9% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.38 | +397% | 1.41 | +23.7% | +51.8% | −4.5% | +25.6% | +11.8% | −40.4% | −27.2% | +61.2% | −71.3% | +46.9% | 23.1% | +16.0% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.30 | +660% | 1.39 | −4.0% | +86.6% | +17.4% | +94.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.4% | +18.6% |
| PBR Oil & Gas IntegratedPetróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras | 0.19 | +721% | 1.32 | −2.9% | +55.4% | −41.1% | −20.0% | −32.1% | −55.6% | −32.0% | — | — | — | 23.3% | +18.5% |
Common questions
What was CSX's worst drawdown?
CSX's deepest decline since it began trading in 1986 was 69.2%, from May 2008 to March 2009. It took 22 months from the low to climb back to its old high.
What were CSX's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, CSX's best year was 2017, when it returned 55.5%. Its worst was 2015, with a return of -26.7%.
Is there a better investment than CSX?
Looking beyond its popular alternatives, TRV (property & casualty insurance) and BRK-A (insurance) earned more than CSX with less volatility over the past 5 years. TRV returned 22.4% a year at 22.3% volatility, against 9.3% a year at 23.5%. Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 12.5% a year at 17.2% volatility, against 9.3% at 23.5% for CSX.
Is CSX more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. CSX's volatility over the past 5 years was 23.5%, 1.4 times the S&P 500's 17.2%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CSX's return lands within 23.5% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is CSX's Sharpe ratio?
CSX's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.50, against 0.78 for the S&P 500, so CSX earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is CSX with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, CSX's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.73 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CSX instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CSX holding.
What are the best alternatives to CSX?
None of the nine popular alternatives we compared outperformed CSX in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about CSX's strength than about its alternatives.
Did CSX outperform the S&P 500?
CSX finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 17 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +14.2%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did CSX do in stock market crashes?
CSX fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when CSX fell 69.2% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies CSX?
These had a low correlation with CSX over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.46), GCOW (correlation 0.46) and SMH (correlation 0.49); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.38), CLS (correlation 0.34) and MCK (correlation 0.38). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than CSX's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of CSX's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to CSX
WABWestinghouse Air Brake Technologies
ODFLOld Dominion Freight Line
NSCNorfolk Southern
UNPUnion Pacific
CPCanadian Pacific Kansas City
CNICanadian National Railway