Relative Intelligence · Cruise Lines
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How Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
The short answer
- Returns
- +5.9% a year over the past 5 years, against +11.7% for the S&P 500. $10,000 grew to $7,100 over 10 years, against $42,000 in SPY. Details ↓
- Risk
- More volatile than the S&P 500: volatility 55.2% against 17.2%; worst decline in 10 years −90.4% against −33.7%. Details ↓
- Better options
- 6 of its 8 popular alternatives earned more with less volatility over the past 5 years, including DAL, MAR and HLT. Details ↓
- Track record
- CCL beat the S&P 500 in 15 of 29 full calendar years, and fell less than it in 2 of 10 major crashes. Details ↓
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on CCL alone. It places CCL (Carnival Corporation & plc) against 9 popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where CCL stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: CCL's full trading record, from July 1987 through October 2026. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of November 2, 2026.
Data as of November 2, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
This page answers the following questions about CCL
Key findings
Not AI-generatedThese key findings are generated by our proprietary relative intelligence engine, directly from the data on this page.
- Right nowThe slide is CCL's own: it is 53.9% below its high, against 3.5% for the S&P 500. Even so, over the past 6 months, CCL rose 18.4% against 5.3% for the S&P 500 and 1.4% for the Nasdaq 100. At a glance ↓
- Stock or market?CCL rose 5.1% over the past 3 months, 4.9 points ahead of the consumer discretionary sector ETF XLY (State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF), which rose 0.2%. The S&P 500 fell 0.5%. Last month cut against the tape: CCL rose 16.7% while the S&P 500 fell 2.3%.
- Past 1 to 3 yearsA behind 90% of stocks worth at least $300 million over 10 years, but ahead of 83% of the stocks worth at least $300 million over 3 years. On the flip side, CCL has trailed the market, rising 6.4% over the past year against 11.3% for the S&P 500 and 8.3% for the Nasdaq 100. Market rank ↓
- Long termCCL turned $10,000 into $7,100 over the past decade, against $42,000 in the S&P 500. CCL's 10-year loss of 29.0% puts it behind 90% of the stocks worth at least $300 million with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 320%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross seven sell-offs, CCL has typically fallen 1.7 times as far as the S&P 500. The 2022 bear market took 72.6% off CCL, against 24.5% for the S&P 500, and more than cruise line peers such as RCL (Royal Caribbean Cruises, 64.5%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, CCL has a correlation of 0.63 over 5 years, more closely than 95% of stocks worth at least $300 million. Next to an index fund it is more of the same, not a cushion. Over 10 years, CCL's beta versus the S&P 500 was 2.29: in the S&P 500's rising months it gained 1.4 times as much as the index, and in falling months it lost 2.8 times as much. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- DAL (Delta Air Lines), MAR (Marriott International) and HLT (Hilton Worldwide) earned more than CCL with less volatility over the past 5 years. DAL returned 16.5% a year at 40.9% volatility, against 5.9% a year at 55.2%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- IHG (InterContinental Hotels Group, hotels & resorts) and UAL (United Airlines, airlines) earned more than CCL with less volatility over the past 5 years. IHG returned 21.2% a year at 26.6% volatility, against 5.9% a year at 55.2%.
- Versus the S&P 500
- Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 11.7% a year at 17.2% volatility, against 5.9% at 55.2% for CCL.
How much would $10,000 in CCL have grown?
- $10,000 invested in CCL at the end of October 2005 would have grown to $8,836 by October 2026, less than the $92,330 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- All five other investments on the chart ended ahead of CCL, and BKNG finished highest, at $1,998,415.
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in CCL over the past 21 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of CCL over the same span and CCL's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: The chart covers the past 21 years rather than CCL's full 29 years, because most of its popular alternatives have not traded that long.
Choose a period
From the end of October 2005 to the end of October 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,463 of the 1,563 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CCL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first.
- BKNG$2M+19,884% total · +28.7% a year
- IHG$234,375+2,244% total · +16.2% a year
- MAR$176,674+1,667% total · +14.7% a year
- EXPE$116,774+1,068% total · +12.4% a year
- RCL$95,607+856% total · +11.3% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$92,330+823% total · +11.2% a year
- CCL$8,836−11.6% total · −0.6% a year
From the end of October 2021 to the end of October 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,875 of the 3,626 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of CCL; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- RCL$37,636+276% total · +30.4% a year
- MAR$26,025+160% total · +21.1% a year
- HLT$25,141+151% total · +20.2% a year
- LIND$24,983+150% total · +20.1% a year
- DAL$21,277+113% total · +16.3% a year
- EXPE$17,633+76.3% total · +12.0% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$17,593+75.9% total · +12.0% a year
- BKNG$15,660+56.6% total · +9.4% a year
- CCL$13,219+32.2% total · +5.7% a year
- NCLH$6,831−31.7% total · −7.3% a year
CCL at a glance
- CCL is still 53.9% below its all-time high.
- CCL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1987 was 90.4%, from January 2018 to October 2022. It has not yet climbed back to that peak.
- Over 29 full calendar years, CCL's best was 2023, when it returned 130%, and its worst was 2022, when it lost 59.9%. It lost money in 13 of those years.
This section summarizes the key facts about the stock, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
The company
- Market value
- $40B
- Industry
- Travel Services
- Price history from
- July 1987
Returns
- Past 1 year
- +6.4%total return
- Past 3 years
- +157%+36.9% a year
- Past 5 years
- +33.3%+5.9% a year
- Past 10 years
- −29.0%−3.4% a year
- Best calendar year
- +130%2023
- Worst calendar year
- −59.9%2022
- Losing years
- 13 of 29full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 55.2%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.38return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −90.4%Jan 2018 to Oct 2022
- From its all-time high
- −53.9%below the peak
CCL against the whole market
Where CCL ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does CCL rank among all stocks?
- CCL's 3-year return ranks in the top 17% of the 2,999 stocks worth at least $300 million with 3 years of history.
- CCL's 10-year return ranks in the bottom 10% of the 2,186 stocks worth at least $300 million with 10 years of history.
This section ranks CCL on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every stock worth at least $300 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how CCL stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
Ranked against U.S.-listed stocks worth at least $300M that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller stocks are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | CCL | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | +6.4% | 1,830 of 3,272 | bottom 45% |
| 3-year return | +157% | 515 of 2,999 | top 17% |
| 5-year return | +33.3% | 1,304 of 2,886 | top 45% |
| 10-year return | −29.0% | 1,959 of 2,186 | bottom 11% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 55.2% | 2,121 of 2,886 | bottom 28% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.38 | 1,294 of 2,886 | top 45% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −90.4% | 1,938 of 2,183 | bottom 12% |
What has beaten CCL on both return and risk?
- 932 stocks and 566 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than CCL over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 41% of the 3,627 screened.
- Among those with at least half CCL's swings, MPC has the best return for its risk: 49.4% a year at 33.6% volatility, 39% less than CCL's 55.2%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.37 against 0.38 for CCL. BELFB earned the most, 76.5% a year, while still swinging less than CCL (51.8% against 55.2%).
- Among CCL's popular alternatives, HLT, MAR and RCL are in the region. HLT earned 21.2% a year against 5.9% a year for CCL, at 26.8% volatility, 51% less than CCL's 55.2%.
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). CCL sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than CCL with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to CCL; faint dots are 91 more of the 1,498 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,627 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
Is there a better investment than CCL?
- Among CCL's popular alternatives, DAL, MAR and HLT earned more than CCL with less volatility over the past 5 years. DAL returned 16.5% a year at 40.9% volatility, against 5.9% a year at 55.2%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, IHG (hotels & resorts) and UAL (airlines) earned more than CCL with less volatility over the past 5 years. IHG returned 21.2% a year at 26.6% volatility, against 5.9% a year at 55.2%.
- Simply owning the S&P 500 would have done better over the past 5 years: 11.7% a year at 17.2% volatility, against 5.9% at 55.2% for CCL.
Investments that beat CCL over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat CCL over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes. It checks CCL's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than CCL follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than CCL's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× CCL's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than CCL's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with CCL?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| +5.9% | 55.2% | 0.38 | −90.4% | −29.0% | 1.00 | — | |||
| +11.7% | 17.2% | 0.73 | −33.7% | +320% | 0.63 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 6 shownThe investments people most often weigh against CCL. 7 of 8 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +16.5% | 40.9% | 0.58 | −69.2% | +125% | 0.74 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +22.1% | 28.7% | 0.84 | −61.3% | +565% | 0.67 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +21.2% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | +732% | 0.66 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +30.5% | 48.5% | 0.79 | −83.3% | +381% | 0.87 | — | ||
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc. · Travel Services | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +13.7% | 46.7% | 0.51 | −70.5% | +156% | 0.57 | — | |
LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. · Cruise Lines | Higher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +18.1% | 66.3% | 0.58 | −83.2% | +369% | 0.68 | — | |
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in Cruise Lines and the categories next to it (Travel Services, Hotels & Resorts, Airlines), plus CCL's specific themes. 12 of 28 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +21.2% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +405% | 0.62 | — | |
UALUnited Airlines Holdings, Inc. · Airlines | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.9% | 49.1% | 0.58 | −79.4% | +94.6% | 0.65 | — | |
HHyatt Hotels Corporation · Hotels & Resorts | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.7% | 34.4% | 0.65 | −60.5% | +284% | 0.60 | — | |
CPACopa Holdings, S.A. · Airlines | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +17.8% | 36.2% | 0.63 | −78.9% | +104% | 0.62 | — | |
OSWOneSpaWorld Holdings Ltd · Personal Services · Cruise Lines theme | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +23.4% | 38.5% | 0.74 | −85.0% | — | 0.60 | — | |
HTHTH World Group Limited · Hotels & Resorts | Smaller losses in recent crashes | +3.9% | 49.6% | 0.32 | −64.0% | +453% | -0.03 | — | |
| The whole marketbest 8 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 2,303 of 3,592 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +41.9% | 24.8% | 1.54 | −46.1% | +388% | 0.35 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +41.9% | 33.0% | 1.23 | −34.5% | +2,172% | 0.00 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +22.2% | 22.7% | 1.00 | −25.7% | +552% | 0.32 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +13.9% | 17.2% | 0.85 | −30.4% | +288% | 0.25 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +27.0% | 26.6% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +231% | 0.12 | — | ||
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +10.5% | 14.4% | 0.77 | −33.4% | +264% | 0.48 | 0.06% | ||
| Higher return, similar volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +64.6% | 57.4% | 1.16 | −57.6% | +5,027% | 0.22 | — | ||
IXJiShares Global Healthcare ETF · Health Care Equity | Similar return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periodsSmaller losses in recent crashes | +6.5% | 14.8% | 0.50 | −27.4% | +180% | 0.29 | 0.38% | |
What these numbers mean for CCL
- Annual return
- CCL returned 5.9% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 11.7% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $13,300. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- CCL's volatility over the past 5 years was 55.2%, 3.2 times the S&P 500's 17.2%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CCL's return lands within 55.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- CCL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.38, against 0.73 for the S&P 500, so CCL earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- CCL's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 90.4%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 90.4% fall takes a 937% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, CCL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.63 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CCL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CCL holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 1,498 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than CCL with less volatility
Out of 3,627 tested over 5 years. The strongest 100 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with CCL | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +41.9% | 24.8% | 1.54 | −46.1% | +388% | 0.35 | — | |
| 2 | Whole market | +41.9% | 33.0% | 1.23 | −34.5% | +2,172% | 0.00 | — | |
| 3 | Whole market | +22.2% | 22.7% | 1.00 | −25.7% | +552% | 0.32 | — | |
| 4 | Whole market | +13.9% | 17.2% | 0.85 | −30.4% | +288% | 0.25 | — | |
| 5 | Whole market | +27.0% | 26.6% | 1.04 | −61.0% | +231% | 0.12 | — | |
| 6 | Whole market | +16.1% | 22.7% | 0.78 | −36.4% | +467% | 0.52 | — | |
| 7 | Whole market | +13.4% | 18.0% | 0.80 | −27.4% | +209% | 0.09 | — | |
| 8 | Whole market | +15.6% | 23.7% | 0.73 | −41.0% | +571% | 0.49 | — | |
| 9 | Whole market | +14.6% | 16.9% | 0.90 | −37.0% | +211% | 0.09 | — | |
| 10 | Whole market | +19.6% | 25.3% | 0.84 | −55.8% | +229% | 0.21 | — | |
| 11 | Whole market | +17.2% | 23.0% | 0.81 | −31.4% | +741% | 0.38 | — | |
| 12 | Whole market | +22.8% | 23.4% | 1.00 | −42.9% | +255% | 0.29 | — | |
| 13 | Whole market | +14.2% | 24.7% | 0.66 | −43.4% | +259% | 0.04 | — | |
| 14 | Whole market | +20.5% | 24.9% | 0.88 | −24.9% | +352% | 0.10 | — | |
| 15 | Whole market | +16.2% | 20.0% | 0.85 | −42.0% | +317% | 0.46 | — | |
| 16 | Whole market | +19.6% | 25.9% | 0.82 | −59.6% | +259% | 0.04 | — | |
| 17 | Whole market | +12.9% | 33.8% | 0.53 | −33.4% | +479% | 0.36 | — | |
| 18 | Whole market | +20.8% | 21.4% | 0.99 | −53.7% | +136% | 0.31 | — | |
| 19 | Whole market | +11.2% | 20.9% | 0.61 | −32.6% | +433% | 0.36 | — | |
| 20 | Whole market | +20.3% | 34.3% | 0.71 | −33.6% | +680% | 0.39 | — | |
| 21 | Whole market | +11.5% | 30.0% | 0.51 | −52.5% | +216% | 0.38 | — | |
| 22 | Whole market | +22.5% | 25.7% | 0.93 | −30.3% | +892% | 0.03 | — | |
| 23 | Whole market | +17.6% | 24.0% | 0.80 | −36.7% | +237% | 0.13 | — | |
| 24 | Whole market | +15.8% | 20.4% | 0.82 | −42.6% | +254% | 0.23 | — | |
| 25 | Whole market | +47.0% | 43.6% | 1.10 | −52.6% | +964% | 0.37 | — | |
| 26 | Whole market | +22.5% | 22.3% | 1.03 | −46.3% | +367% | 0.27 | — | |
| 27 | Whole market | +10.5% | 14.4% | 0.77 | −33.4% | +264% | 0.48 | 0.06% | |
| 28 | Whole market | +17.1% | 28.8% | 0.69 | −63.9% | +147% | 0.11 | — | |
| 29 | Whole market | +25.2% | 24.7% | 1.04 | −41.6% | +685% | 0.54 | — | |
| 30 | Whole market | +16.7% | 23.2% | 0.78 | −48.4% | +865% | 0.36 | — | |
| 31 | Whole market | +18.0% | 39.2% | 0.62 | −62.4% | +275% | 0.08 | — | |
| 32 | Whole market | +11.4% | 21.0% | 0.62 | −37.4% | +345% | 0.09 | — | |
| 33 | Whole market | +14.3% | 18.6% | 0.81 | −34.0% | +464% | 0.21 | — | |
| 34 | Whole market | +15.5% | 23.6% | 0.73 | −32.8% | +684% | 0.32 | — | |
| 35 | Whole market | +18.9% | 26.2% | 0.80 | −41.4% | +388% | 0.03 | — | |
| 36 | Whole market | +12.8% | 27.8% | 0.58 | −50.8% | +324% | 0.51 | — | |
| 37 | Whole market | +12.2% | 22.6% | 0.62 | −39.2% | +133% | 0.30 | — | |
| 38 | Whole market | +20.6% | 23.3% | 0.92 | −48.8% | +291% | 0.23 | — | |
| 39 | Whole market | +49.4% | 33.6% | 1.37 | −79.7% | +1,315% | 0.12 | — | |
| 40 | Whole market | +12.6% | 19.5% | 0.71 | −54.4% | +41.3% | 0.03 | — | |
| 41 | Whole market | +15.6% | 24.6% | 0.71 | −30.7% | +610% | 0.34 | — | |
| 42 | ACGLArch Capital Group Ltd. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +21.6% | 24.6% | 0.92 | −53.8% | +346% | 0.11 | — |
| 43 | Whole market | +19.6% | 28.0% | 0.78 | −57.7% | +904% | 0.46 | — | |
| 44 | CBOECboe Global Markets, Inc. · Capital Markets | Whole market | +22.5% | 25.5% | 0.93 | −43.2% | +533% | 0.07 | — |
| 45 | Whole market | +13.0% | 18.9% | 0.74 | −30.9% | +125% | -0.03 | — | |
| 46 | Whole market | +10.6% | 24.9% | 0.53 | −38.3% | +498% | 0.25 | — | |
| 47 | Whole market | +8.3% | 15.3% | 0.60 | −28.4% | +227% | 0.27 | 0.08% | |
| 48 | Whole market | +18.2% | 28.0% | 0.74 | −38.5% | +1,226% | 0.43 | — | |
| 49 | RSReliance Steel & Aluminum Co. · Metals & Mining | Whole market | +26.4% | 28.0% | 0.98 | −40.8% | +712% | 0.46 | — |
| 50 | Whole market | +8.4% | 13.3% | 0.67 | −23.8% | +114% | 0.19 | — | |
| 51 | KOFCoca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. · Food & Beverages | Whole market | +22.0% | 24.7% | 0.93 | −55.1% | +139% | 0.27 | — |
| 52 | Whole market | +13.4% | 27.4% | 0.60 | −43.8% | +162% | 0.13 | — | |
| 53 | Whole market | +11.2% | 31.4% | 0.50 | −37.1% | +281% | 0.01 | — | |
| 54 | Whole market | +8.8% | 19.1% | 0.54 | −32.3% | +179% | 0.15 | — | |
| 55 | FTSFortis Inc. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +10.0% | 16.5% | 0.66 | −34.3% | +168% | 0.21 | — |
| 56 | HDViShares Core High Dividend ETF · High Dividend Yield | Whole market | +13.4% | 13.0% | 1.03 | −37.0% | +184% | 0.38 | 0.08% |
| 57 | DGXQuest Diagnostics Incorporated · Medical Diagnostics | Whole market | +14.0% | 22.5% | 0.70 | −36.6% | +279% | 0.16 | — |
| 58 | FCNCAFirst Citizens BancShares, Inc. · Regional Banks | Whole market | +23.6% | 41.5% | 0.70 | −47.5% | +757% | 0.24 | — |
| 59 | DRIDarden Restaurants, Inc. · Casual Dining | Whole market | +12.9% | 27.2% | 0.58 | −72.8% | +358% | 0.52 | — |
| 60 | RGAReinsurance Group of America, Incorporated · Insurance | Whole market | +19.9% | 27.3% | 0.81 | −65.8% | +199% | 0.26 | — |
| 61 | EMBJEmbraer S.A. · Aerospace & Defense | Whole market | +37.7% | 45.0% | 0.94 | −85.2% | +264% | 0.38 | — |
| 62 | EXPDExpeditors International of Washington, Inc. · Freight & Logistics | Whole market | +11.8% | 27.0% | 0.55 | −35.6% | +341% | 0.37 | — |
| 63 | ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc. · Specialty Retail | Whole market | +11.4% | 34.5% | 0.49 | −64.9% | +166% | 0.37 | — |
| 64 | PNWPinnacle West Capital Corporation · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +15.5% | 19.9% | 0.83 | −39.3% | +111% | 0.20 | — |
| 65 | RNRRenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +19.0% | 27.8% | 0.77 | −40.7% | +207% | -0.07 | — |
| 66 | CACICACI International Inc · Business Services | Whole market | +18.8% | 30.0% | 0.73 | −42.9% | +584% | 0.11 | — |
| 67 | FDLFirst Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund · High Dividend Yield | Whole market | +14.8% | 14.5% | 1.03 | −41.4% | +216% | 0.41 | 0.43% |
| 68 | XLPState Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF · Consumer Staples | Whole market | +7.6% | 13.9% | 0.60 | −24.5% | +126% | 0.32 | 0.08% |
| 69 | TXRHTexas Roadhouse, Inc. · Casual Dining | Whole market | +18.5% | 30.5% | 0.71 | −58.0% | +454% | 0.41 | — |
| 70 | EGEverest Group, Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +11.2% | 25.7% | 0.55 | −44.2% | +155% | 0.08 | — |
| 71 | OGEOGE Energy Corp. · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +12.4% | 18.8% | 0.72 | −48.9% | +156% | 0.16 | — |
| 72 | THGThe Hanover Insurance Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +17.0% | 23.0% | 0.80 | −40.1% | +337% | 0.13 | — |
| 73 | AFGAmerican Financial Group, Inc. · Property & Casualty Insurance | Whole market | +10.4% | 22.6% | 0.55 | −59.0% | +329% | 0.26 | — |
| 74 | BWLPBW LPG Limited · Marine Shipping | Whole market | +59.3% | 50.9% | 1.17 | −68.8% | +2,508% | 0.23 | — |
| 75 | HRBH&R Block, Inc. · Tax Preparation | Whole market | +22.1% | 35.0% | 0.74 | −57.7% | +244% | 0.03 | — |
| 76 | Whole market | +24.3% | 23.4% | 1.05 | −45.1% | +665% | 0.02 | — | |
| 77 | IHGInterContinental Hotels Group PLC · Hotels & Resorts | Same or nearby category | +21.2% | 26.6% | 0.86 | −59.3% | +405% | 0.62 | — |
| 78 | CAKEThe Cheesecake Factory Incorporated · Casual Dining | Whole market | +25.3% | 40.0% | 0.77 | −75.6% | +163% | 0.57 | — |
| 79 | WTMWhite Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. · Insurance | Whole market | +16.1% | 23.5% | 0.76 | −40.2% | +181% | 0.18 | — |
| 80 | HWKNHawkins, Inc. · Specialty Chemicals | Whole market | +34.6% | 37.0% | 0.99 | −44.8% | +786% | 0.24 | — |
| 81 | NHCNational HealthCare Corporation · Health Care Facilities | Whole market | +26.7% | 28.8% | 0.97 | −35.3% | +313% | 0.14 | — |
| 82 | OPLNOPENLANE, Inc. · Auto Auctions | Whole market | +21.9% | 39.6% | 0.69 | −64.5% | +175% | 0.45 | — |
| 83 | BKHBlack Hills Corporation · Diversified Utilities | Whole market | +8.8% | 22.6% | 0.49 | −40.5% | +95.2% | 0.16 | — |
| 84 | NWENorthwestern Energy Group Inc · Electric Utilities | Whole market | +11.8% | 21.6% | 0.63 | −39.3% | +117% | 0.07 | — |
| 85 | NICNicolet Bankshares, Inc. · Regional Banks | Whole market | +19.7% | 30.1% | 0.75 | −44.3% | +378% | 0.34 | — |
| 86 | GEOThe GEO Group, Inc. · Business Services | Whole market | +26.8% | 51.5% | 0.71 | −77.8% | +171% | 0.12 | — |
| 87 | Whole market | +34.3% | 29.4% | 1.16 | −54.9% | +481% | 0.27 | — | |
| 88 | Popular alternative | +16.5% | 40.9% | 0.58 | −69.2% | +125% | 0.74 | — | |
| 89 | Whole market | +22.9% | 24.8% | 0.96 | −67.2% | +231% | 0.19 | — | |
| 90 | APLEApple Hospitality REIT, Inc. · Hotel REITs | Whole market | +9.8% | 26.8% | 0.48 | −71.9% | +82.9% | 0.54 | — |
| 91 | UFPTUFP Technologies, Inc. · Medical Devices | Whole market | +35.4% | 46.0% | 0.89 | −48.3% | +990% | 0.23 | — |
| 92 | INSWInternational Seaways, Inc. · Oil & Gas | Whole market | +58.0% | 40.6% | 1.34 | −57.4% | — | 0.05 | — |
| 93 | Whole market | +32.9% | 43.7% | 0.88 | −48.0% | +1,337% | 0.34 | — | |
| 94 | WORWorthington Industries, Inc. · Building Products | Whole market | +16.1% | 38.3% | 0.58 | −64.7% | +180% | 0.53 | — |
| 95 | Whole market | +25.3% | 25.0% | 1.03 | −30.5% | +235% | 0.15 | — | |
| 96 | Whole market | +26.9% | 23.9% | 1.12 | −63.3% | +408% | 0.25 | — | |
| 97 | Whole market | +36.2% | 25.0% | 1.37 | −38.1% | +693% | 0.16 | — | |
| 98 | LTCLTC Properties, Inc. · Healthcare REITs | Whole market | +13.6% | 21.0% | 0.71 | −51.4% | +71.3% | 0.22 | — |
| 99 | CHCOCity Holding Company · Regional Banks | Whole market | +15.9% | 22.6% | 0.77 | −32.3% | +278% | 0.32 | — |
| 100 | Whole market | +46.3% | 37.6% | 1.21 | −75.3% | +612% | 0.24 | — |
CCL against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against CCL, compared period by period and year by year.
How do CCL's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
- Six of the eight popular alternatives, led by RCL, MAR and HLT, were both more rewarding and calmer than CCL over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, CCL returned 5.9% a year, less than the S&P 500's 11.7%, with higher volatility (55.2% against 17.2%).
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at CCL, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
Green points earned more than CCL with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | +30.5% | 48.5% |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | +22.1% | 28.7% |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | +21.2% | 26.8% |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | +18.1% | 66.3% |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | +16.5% | 40.9% |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | +13.7% | 46.7% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +11.7% | 17.2% |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | +9.9% | 33.4% |
| CCL This pageCarnival Corporation & plc | +5.9% | 55.2% |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | −7.7% | 57.8% |
Has CCL consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
- Six of the nine popular alternatives, led by LIND, RCL and EXPE, outperformed CCL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes.
- LIND outperformed CCL in every long-term period and in all but one short-term period, the most consistent record in the group.
- HLT, MAR and RCL earned more for the risk they took than CCL (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
This section compares CCL with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than CCL helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than CCL over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc (this page) | — | +16.7% | +5.1% | +18.4% | −1.2% | +6.4% | +157% | +33.3% | −29.0% | 55.2% | 0.38 | −90.4% | — | $40B | — |
| LIND QualifiedLindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 4/5 short3/3 longAll-weather | +5.4% | +10.7% | +105% | +154% | +200% | +511% | +130% | +369% | 66.3% | 0.58 | −83.2% | — | $2.4B | — |
| RCL QualifiedRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +15.6% | −0.3% | +25.1% | +15.2% | +17.9% | +276% | +278% | +381% | 48.5% | 0.79 | −83.3% | — | $86B | — |
| EXPE QualifiedExpedia Group, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | +12.8% | +0.5% | +21.7% | +6.3% | +39.7% | +220% | +89.7% | +156% | 46.7% | 0.51 | −70.5% | — | $34B | — |
| DAL QualifiedDelta Air Lines, Inc. | 3/5 short3/3 long | −0.5% | −8.7% | +22.7% | +22.1% | +44.1% | +169% | +115% | +125% | 40.9% | 0.58 | −69.2% | — | $55B | — |
| MAR QualifiedMarriott International, Inc. | 4/5 short2/3 long | +16.0% | +20.3% | +20.4% | +33.6% | +59.1% | +131% | +171% | +565% | 28.7% | 0.84 | −61.3% | — | $109B | — |
| HLT QualifiedHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 3/5 short2/3 long | +14.2% | +16.1% | +17.2% | +24.7% | +41.0% | +141% | +162% | +732% | 26.8% | 0.85 | −50.8% | — | $81B | — |
| BKNG Travel ServicesBooking Holdings Inc. | 0/5 short2/3 long | −3.3% | −20.0% | −6.7% | −27.3% | −22.9% | +38.6% | +60.4% | +172% | 33.4% | 0.45 | −47.8% | — | $116B | — |
| VIK Travel ServicesViking Holdings Ltd | 2/5 short0/3 long | +8.1% | −18.2% | +10.2% | +20.5% | +44.0% | — | — | — | — | — | −35.4% | — | $39B | — |
| NCLH Travel ServicesNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 1/5 short0/3 long | +18.5% | −9.2% | +4.3% | −21.2% | −19.1% | +37.3% | −33.1% | −52.1% | 57.8% | 0.15 | −87.3% | — | $8.2B | — |
How did CCL do year by year?
- CCL finished ahead of the S&P 500 in 15 of its 29 full calendar years, and ahead of it in each of the last three.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, CCL finished in the top quarter in two of 20 years and in the bottom quarter in six. In 2025, it ranked 3 of 10.
- Among its popular alternatives, HLT came out ahead of CCL most often, in nine of the 12 years both traded.
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 1997, along with where CCL ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with CCL and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of CCL; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places CCL among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of CCL | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 1999 | 1998 | 1997 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL This pageCarnival Corporation & plc | — | +22.6% | +34.4% | +130% | −60.0% | −7.1% | −56.9% | +7.4% | −23.4% | +30.8% | −1.7% | +22.9% | +15.7% | +12.4% | +17.6% | −27.2% | +47.1% | +30.3% | −42.4% | −6.6% | −6.1% | −5.8% | +46.8% | +61.6% | −9.9% | −7.5% | −34.4% | +0.4% | +75.0% | +69.6% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 2 of 20 | 3 of 10 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 8 of 9 | 9 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 9 | 7 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 14 of 29 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% | +5.1% | +15.9% | +4.8% | +10.7% | +28.2% | −21.6% | −11.7% | −9.8% | +20.4% | +28.7% | +33.5% |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 4 of 12 | +21.6% | +5.2% | +46.4% | −50.6% | −8.9% | +4.7% | +21.5% | +37.5% | +3.6% | −14.9% | +12.4% | +2.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 20 of 29 | +22.5% | +79.0% | +162% | −35.7% | +3.0% | −43.5% | +39.9% | −16.1% | +48.2% | −17.1% | +24.7% | +76.9% | +42.1% | +39.3% | −46.9% | +85.9% | +83.8% | −67.1% | +4.0% | −6.8% | −16.2% | +58.4% | +113% | +6.0% | −37.2% | −45.3% | +34.6% | +40.3% | +132% |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 12 of 20 | +53.3% | +22.8% | +73.3% | −51.5% | +36.5% | +22.9% | −2.9% | −5.0% | +6.7% | −8.1% | +46.8% | +23.5% | +14.5% | +116% | −20.5% | −1.3% | +212% | −73.9% | +50.7% | −12.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 10 of 18 | +16.1% | +52.0% | +23.0% | −15.9% | −2.8% | −30.8% | +20.4% | −8.7% | +16.2% | −1.4% | +4.1% | +80.5% | +133% | +46.7% | −35.8% | +10.7% | −0.7% | −23.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 18 of 29 | +12.3% | +24.9% | +53.0% | −9.3% | +25.3% | −12.5% | +41.5% | −19.0% | +66.2% | +25.4% | −13.0% | +60.0% | +34.4% | +29.5% | −24.6% | +53.4% | +42.4% | −42.3% | −27.9% | +43.5% | +6.9% | +37.2% | +41.7% | −18.5% | −3.2% | +34.9% | +9.6% | +37.2% | +26.9% |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 9 of 12 | +16.5% | +36.1% | +44.7% | −18.7% | +40.2% | +0.5% | +55.5% | −9.4% | +44.5% | +28.7% | −17.5% | +17.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 17 of 26 | +8.6% | +41.3% | +76.0% | −16.0% | +7.7% | +8.5% | +19.2% | −0.9% | +18.5% | +15.0% | +11.8% | −1.9% | +87.3% | +32.7% | +17.1% | +82.8% | +197% | −35.7% | +164% | +94.9% | −5.4% | +31.8% | +86.5% | −72.6% | +345% | −97.2% | — | — | — |
| VIK Viking Holdings Ltd | 1 of 1 | +62.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 5 of 12 | −13.3% | +28.4% | +63.7% | −41.0% | −18.4% | −56.5% | +37.8% | −20.4% | +25.2% | −27.4% | +25.3% | +31.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How CCL has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were CCL's worst declines?
- In all three of CCL's worst declines, the S&P 500 held up better over the same dates.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: CCL fell 90.4% from January 2018 to October 2022, while the S&P 500 rose 37.1%.
- The slowest recovery came after CCL fell 71.2% from December 2004 to November 2008; it did not regain that peak until December 2014, six years later.
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents CCL's five deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 1987, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Green means CCL fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | CCL fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 bear market | −90.4% | +37.1% | Jan 2018 | Oct 2022 | 4.8 years | Not yet | — |
| 2008 financial crisis | −71.2% | −33.3% | Dec 2004 | Nov 2008 | 3.9 years | Dec 2014 | 6.1 years |
| Dot-com bust | −65.1% | −25.8% | Apr 1999 | Sep 2001 | 2.4 years | Oct 2004 | 3.1 years |
| No named crash | −56.2% | — | Aug 1989 | Oct 1990 | 14 months | Apr 1991 | 6 months |
| No named crash | −51.7% | — | Aug 1987 | Dec 1987 | 4 months | Jan 1989 | 13 months |
How did CCL do in stock market crashes?
- CCL fell further than the S&P 500 in eight of the ten crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when CCL fell 72.6% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
- Among its popular alternatives, LIND held up best, falling less than CCL in five of the six crashes they both traded through.
This section measures how far CCL, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than CCL.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL This pageCarnival Corporation & plc | — | −12.3% | −72.6% | −78.3% | −30.6% | −4.5% | −24.0% | −19.5% | −3.5% | −68.9% | −46.3% |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 8 of 10 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 5 of 6 | −5.4% | −66.5% | −79.1% | −17.5% | −2.8% | −14.5% | — | — | — | — |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 2 of 10 | −11.1% | −64.5% | −79.7% | −31.5% | −5.6% | −35.5% | −45.1% | −4.3% | −87.2% | −72.3% |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 4 of 9 | −11.4% | −58.2% | −62.4% | −18.2% | −19.6% | −33.2% | −23.1% | −4.6% | −82.5% | — |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 6 of 9 | −10.2% | −37.4% | −63.5% | −21.0% | −7.6% | −22.0% | −21.3% | −0.2% | −81.1% | — |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 5 of 10 | −7.4% | −29.9% | −56.6% | −24.0% | −5.2% | −24.9% | −25.6% | −2.8% | −70.1% | −46.2% |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 4 of 6 | −6.7% | −32.6% | −49.6% | −22.2% | −4.8% | −34.1% | — | — | — | — |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 6 of 10 | −5.6% | −39.5% | −41.5% | −19.1% | −6.3% | −33.7% | −17.8% | −3.2% | −66.3% | −98.9% |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 2 of 6 | −11.7% | −56.2% | −85.1% | −31.7% | −5.1% | −40.1% | — | — | — | — |
How closely does CCL move with the S&P 500?
- Seven of the eight popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than CCL's 0.48, led by HLT, MAR and LIND.
- HLT took just 97% of the S&P 500's losses, against 281% for CCL, while still keeping 121% of its gains.
- Over the past 10 years, CCL captured 135% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 281% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 2.29. It amplified the market's moves in both directions.
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares CCL with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than CCL's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL This pageCarnival Corporation & plc | 135% | 281% | 0.48 | 2.29 |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | 121% | 97% | 1.26 | 1.17 |
| MAR Marriott International, Inc. | 132% | 132% | 1.00 | 1.45 |
| LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | 175% | 231% | 0.76 | 2.32 |
| RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | 171% | 225% | 0.76 | 2.23 |
| BKNG Booking Holdings Inc. | 99% | 130% | 0.76 | 1.18 |
| EXPE Expedia Group, Inc. | 104% | 146% | 0.71 | 1.49 |
| DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. | 107% | 156% | 0.68 | 1.35 |
| NCLH Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | 128% | 294% | 0.44 | 2.31 |
What diversifies CCL?
- Moving a fifth of the money in CCL into GLD would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 20% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (+5.7% for CCL alone, +10.9% for the mix).
- Among large ETFs, LVHI, DXJ and EMLP have moved largely independently of CCL over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.48 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
- MCK made money in eight of the 13 calendar years in which CCL lost money.
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with CCL's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing CCL with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which CCL lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% CCL and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2018 | 2016 | 2011 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc (this page) | 1.00 | +33.3% | 0.38 | −60.0% | −7.1% | −56.9% | −23.4% | −1.7% | −27.2% | −42.4% | −6.6% | −6.1% | −5.8% | −9.9% | −7.5% | −34.4% | 60.6% | +5.7% |
| LVHI InternationalFranklin International Low Volatility High Dividend Index ETF | 0.42 | +119% | 1.48 | +3.8% | +17.8% | −9.0% | −5.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.3% | +10.5% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.48 | +220% | 1.32 | +6.0% | +18.0% | +3.9% | −19.8% | +1.1% | −16.1% | −20.8% | −7.4% | — | — | — | — | — | 49.8% | +12.1% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.41 | +108% | 1.09 | +10.4% | +23.1% | −13.4% | −8.7% | +29.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.8% | +10.1% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.39 | +120% | 0.93 | +25.5% | +39.1% | −32.3% | −12.6% | +14.9% | +10.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50.0% | +10.5% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.23 | +177% | 0.93 | +64.4% | +53.3% | −32.7% | −18.2% | +28.0% | +2.8% | −39.0% | +36.8% | +18.0% | +40.1% | −14.8% | −18.2% | +24.4% | 50.0% | +11.9% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | -0.02 | +116% | 0.91 | −0.8% | −4.2% | +24.8% | −1.9% | +8.0% | +9.6% | +4.9% | +30.4% | +22.6% | +17.8% | — | — | — | 48.5% | +10.9% |
| IDV InternationaliShares International Select Dividend ETF | 0.39 | +85.2% | 0.88 | −6.5% | +12.1% | −5.9% | −10.4% | +7.9% | −7.2% | −52.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.9% | +9.6% |
| EUFN InternationaliShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF | 0.41 | +128% | 0.87 | −8.8% | +19.1% | −8.5% | −23.1% | −2.7% | −26.6% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 50.3% | +10.4% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2018 | 2016 | 2011 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCL Carnival Corporation & plc (this page) | 1.00 | +33.3% | 0.38 | −60.0% | −7.1% | −56.9% | −23.4% | −1.7% | −27.2% | −42.4% | −6.6% | −6.1% | −5.8% | −9.9% | −7.5% | −34.4% | 60.6% | +5.7% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.35 | +476% | 1.54 | +54.1% | −0.4% | +10.1% | −24.5% | −17.5% | +8.1% | −39.6% | −9.8% | −5.8% | +18.7% | −8.3% | −2.5% | +108% | 50.6% | +14.9% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.12 | +644% | 1.37 | +86.6% | +61.0% | −27.4% | −8.2% | +0.7% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 49.7% | +17.0% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.16 | +368% | 1.37 | +51.8% | +44.2% | +27.1% | −28.4% | −28.3% | +11.8% | −40.4% | +29.7% | −1.2% | +64.9% | −27.2% | +4.9% | +61.2% | 49.6% | +14.7% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.39 | +2,294% | 1.36 | +1.3% | +37.9% | −2.4% | −16.3% | +7.4% | −24.4% | −20.5% | −25.7% | −26.0% | −25.2% | −65.1% | −25.6% | −2.3% | 54.3% | +23.3% |
| HWM Aerospace & DefenseHowmet Aerospace Inc. | 0.39 | +604% | 1.35 | +24.2% | +11.7% | −7.2% | −37.5% | −11.5% | −42.9% | −67.4% | +26.4% | +5.5% | −1.8% | −33.1% | +9.8% | −15.9% | 51.6% | +15.6% |
Common questions
What was CCL's worst drawdown?
CCL's deepest decline since it began trading in 1987 was 90.4%, from January 2018 to October 2022. It has not yet climbed back to that peak.
What were CCL's best and worst years?
Over 29 full calendar years, CCL's best year was 2023, when it returned 130%. Its worst was 2022, with a return of -59.9%.
Is there a better investment than CCL?
Among CCL's popular alternatives, DAL, MAR and HLT earned more than CCL with less volatility over the past 5 years. DAL returned 16.5% a year at 40.9% volatility, against 5.9% a year at 55.2%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, IHG (hotels & resorts) and UAL (airlines) earned more than CCL with less volatility over the past 5 years. IHG returned 21.2% a year at 26.6% volatility, against 5.9% a year at 55.2%.
Is CCL more volatile than the S&P 500?
Yes. CCL's volatility over the past 5 years was 55.2%, 3.2 times the S&P 500's 17.2%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, CCL's return lands within 55.2% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is CCL's Sharpe ratio?
CCL's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was 0.38, against 0.73 for the S&P 500, so CCL earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is CCL with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, CCL's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.63 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against CCL instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a CCL holding.
What are the best alternatives to CCL?
Of the nine popular alternatives we compared, six outperformed CCL in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, with dividends reinvested: LIND, RCL and EXPE.
Did CCL outperform the S&P 500?
CCL finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in 15 of 29 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +22.6%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did CCL do in stock market crashes?
CCL fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in two of the ten major crashes it has traded through, and further in eight. The clearest case was the 2022 bear market, when CCL fell 72.6% and the S&P 500 fell 24.5%.
What diversifies CCL?
These had a low correlation with CCL over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, LVHI (correlation 0.42), DXJ (correlation 0.48) and EMLP (correlation 0.41); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.35), MPC (correlation 0.12) and MCK (correlation 0.16). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than CCL's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of CCL's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to CCL
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises
DALDelta Air Lines
MARMarriott International
HLTHilton Worldwide
BKNGBooking
VIKViking