Relative Intelligence · US Aggregate Bonds

How Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND) compares with the whole market and its popular alternatives
Built by QuantCommons' quantitative engine, this page is about relative opportunity, not data on BND alone. It places BND (Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF) against 20+ popular alternatives, its neighboring categories and the entire market of over 10,000 U.S.-listed stocks and ETFs, and surfaces what has done better on consistent outperformance, return for the risk taken, behavior in real market crashes and diversification. The result is a clearer view of where BND stands in the market, and of the alternatives worth a closer look.
Period covered: BND's full trading record, from April 2007 through September 2026. The crash tests reach back to 2000 using older funds and the S&P 500. All returns include reinvested dividends. Data as of October 22, 2026.
Data as of October 22, 2026. Full tables and charts read best on a larger screen.
This page answers the following questions about BND
Key findings
Not AI-generatedThese key findings are generated by our proprietary relative intelligence engine, directly from the data on this page.
- Right nowOver the past 6 months, BND fell 1.7% while the S&P 500 rose 8.0%. That said, both BND and the S&P 500 are within a few percent of a record high. At a glance ↓
- Fund or market?A move of its own: BND fell 0.7% over the past 3 months, while the S&P 500 rose 2.5%.
- Long termBND turned $10,000 into $11,400 over the past decade, against $41,600 in the S&P 500. BND's 10-year return of 14.3% puts it behind 93% of the ETFs with at least $100 million in assets with that much history. The S&P 500 returned 316%. Growth of $10,000 ↓
- In a crashAcross six sell-offs, BND has typically lost about 21% as much as the S&P 500. In the 2022 bear market, BND fell 14.6%, against 24.5% for the S&P 500. That was more than GOVT (iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF, 13.0%) but less than BOND (PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund, 16.5%). Crash tests ↓
- DiversificationAgainst the S&P 500, BND has a correlation of 0.62 over 5 years, less closely than 72% of ETFs with at least $100 million in assets. Next to an index fund it is some diversification, but not a hedge. BND cushions stocks less than it used to: its correlation with the S&P 500 rose to 0.62 over the past 5 years, from 0.13 in the 5 years before. Market capture ↓
- Better options
- Popular alternatives
- SGOV (iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF) earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years: 3.8% a year at 0.3% volatility, against a loss of 0.2% a year at 6.1%.
- Nearby categories and themes
- VRIG (Invesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF, investment grade bonds) and SPSB (State Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF, short-term corporate bonds) earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years. VRIG returned 4.7% a year at 1.3% volatility, against a loss of 0.2% a year at 6.1%.
- Whole market
- 101 of the 3,641 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them SGOV (iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF), VTIP (Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF) and BSV (Vanguard Short-Term Bond ETF).
How much would $10,000 in BND have grown?
This chart tracks a hypothetical $10,000 investment in BND over the past 19 years, with dividends reinvested, alongside the same amount in the S&P 500, investments that ended ahead of BND over the same span and BND's popular alternatives, among those that traded for the entire period. A second view covers the past 5 years, the period the better options further down the page are judged on. It shows not only where each investment ended up but also how smooth or uneven the path was.
Note: BND began trading on April 10, 2007, so the chart cannot reach back to the dot-com bust. It covers the most recent 19 years of BND's record, starting at the end of September 2007.
- $10,000 invested in BND at the end of September 2007 would have grown to $16,803 by September 2026, less than the $70,725 it would have become in SPY, an S&P 500 fund.
- Five of the seven other investments on the chart ended ahead of BND, and NVDA finished highest, at $2,767,416.
Choose a period
From the end of September 2007 to the end of September 2026. The scale is logarithmic, so equal steps up the chart are equal percentage gains. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 1,447 of the 1,801 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of BND; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 2 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- NVDA$3M+27,574% total · +34.4% a year
- SPY (S&P 500)$70,725+607% total · +10.8% a year
- HYG$24,288+143% total · +4.8% a year
- EP-PC$23,554+136% total · +4.6% a year
- BIV$19,114+91.1% total · +3.5% a year
- TIP$17,851+78.5% total · +3.1% a year
- BND$16,803+68.0% total · +2.8% a year
- AGG$16,715+67.2% total · +2.7% a year
- MUB$13,360+33.6% total · +1.5% a year
From the end of September 2021 to the end of September 2026. Hover over a fund in the key to pick out its line. 2,625 of the 3,630 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that traded the whole period ended ahead of BND; the chart shows 5, closest alternatives first. The other 3 lines are popular alternatives, shown for context.
- SPY (S&P 500)$19,000+90.0% total · +13.7% a year
- VRIG$12,539+25.4% total · +4.6% a year
- SGOV$12,000+20.0% total · +3.7% a year
- HYG$11,691+16.9% total · +3.2% a year
- SPSB$11,418+14.2% total · +2.7% a year
- GVI$10,338+3.4% total · +0.7% a year
- FBND$10,0020.0% total · 0.0% a year
- MUB$9,978−0.2% total · 0.0% a year
- IUSB$9,868−1.3% total · −0.3% a year
- BND$9,657−3.4% total · −0.7% a year
BND at a glance
This section summarizes the key facts about the fund, its returns over periods from one to ten years and the risk it has carried, with dividends reinvested throughout. These figures serve as the baseline for every comparison that follows.
Note: BND began trading on April 10, 2007, so every figure here, including its worst decline, covers only the time since then. None of them reflect the dot-com bust.
- BND's deepest decline since it began trading in 2007 was 18.6%, from August 2020 to October 2022. It has not yet climbed back to that peak.
- Over 18 full calendar years, BND's best was 2019, when it returned 8.8%, and its worst was 2022, when it lost 13.1%. It lost money in four of those years.
- BND is 3.6% below its all-time high.
The fund
- Issuer
- Vanguard
- Began trading
- April 2007
- Expense ratio
- 0.03%per year
- Assets
- $389B
- Category
- Bonds
Returns
- Past 1 year
- −1.4%total return
- Past 3 years
- +16.3%+5.1% a year
- Past 5 years
- −1.0%−0.2% a year
- Past 10 years
- +14.3%+1.3% a year
- Best calendar year
- +8.8%2019
- Worst calendar year
- −13.1%2022
- Losing years
- 4 of 18full calendar years
Risk
- Volatility
- 6.1%typical yearly swing, 5 years
- Sharpe ratio
- 0.00return per unit of risk, 5 years
- Worst decline ever
- −18.6%Aug 2020 to Oct 2022
- From its all-time high
- −3.6%below the peak
BND against the whole market
Where BND ranks among every stock and fund, and what across the market has done better.
How does BND rank among all ETFs?
This section ranks BND on return, volatility, risk-adjusted return and worst decline against every ETF worth at least $100 million with enough history. Where the comparisons with its popular alternatives show how BND stacks up against its peers, these rankings show where it stands in the market as a whole.
- BND's worst decline of the past 10 years ranks in the top 9% of the 951 ETFs with at least $100 million in assets, where the top fell the least.
- BND's 10-year return ranks in the bottom 7% of the 958 ETFs with at least $100 million in assets with 10 years of history.
Ranked against U.S.-listed ETFs with at least $100M in assets that have enough history for each measure, so the count changes from row to row; smaller ETFs and leveraged funds are left out. Lower volatility and smaller declines rank higher.
| Measure | BND | Rank | Standing |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-year return | −1.4% | 2,191 of 2,488 | bottom 13% |
| 3-year return | +16.3% | 1,728 of 1,950 | bottom 12% |
| 5-year return | −1.0% | 1,418 of 1,563 | bottom 10% |
| 10-year return | +14.3% | 893 of 958 | bottom 8% |
| Volatility, 5 years | 6.1% | 186 of 1,563 | top 12% |
| Sharpe ratio, 5 years | 0.00 | 1,451 of 1,563 | bottom 8% |
| Worst decline, past 10 years | −18.6% | 90 of 951 | top 9% |
What has beaten BND on both return and risk?
Each dot is an investment, placed by how much it earned a year over the past 5 years (higher is better) and how much its price swung, its volatility (further left is calmer). BND sits where the dashed lines cross. Anything in the green box above and to the left earned more than BND with smaller swings, a better trade-off over this period on both counts. Past results are no promise, but a name in the box is worth a closer look.
- 101 ETFs worth at least $500 million sit in the green region: each earned more than BND over the past 5 years with smaller price swings. That is 3% of the 3,641 screened.
- Among those with at least half BND's swings, BALT has the best return for its risk: 6.2% a year at 3.3% volatility, 45% less than BND's 6.1%, and a Sharpe ratio (return above cash per unit of volatility) of 1.84 against -0.00 for BND.
- Among BND's popular alternatives, SGOV is in the region. SGOV earned 3.8% a year against a loss of 0.2% a year for BND, at 0.3% volatility, 95% less than BND's 6.1%.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested, and volatility the annualized swing in daily prices, both over 5 years. Labeled dots are the strongest picks from the table below and the names called out above, colored by how close they sit to BND; faint dots are 41 more of the 101 in the green region (the strongest, one per fund family). 3,641 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million were screened. Hover over a dot for its figures.
- Popular alternatives
- Same and neighboring categories, and shared themes
- The whole market
- Others in the green region
- 1 with more than 1.6× BND's volatility is in the table only
Is there a better investment than BND?
Investments that beat BND over the past 5 years on return, volatility, drawdowns, consistency, crash losses or fees, from its popular alternatives out to the whole market.
- Among BND's popular alternatives, SGOV earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years: 3.8% a year at 0.3% volatility, against a loss of 0.2% a year at 6.1%.
- Looking beyond its popular alternatives, VRIG (investment grade bonds) and SPSB (short-term corporate bonds) earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years. VRIG returned 4.7% a year at 1.3% volatility, against a loss of 0.2% a year at 6.1%.
- Across the whole market, 101 of the 3,641 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years, among them SGOV, VTIP and BSV.
How this works
The table below lists investments that beat BND over the past 5 years on at least one of these measures: a higher annual return with lower volatility, a higher annual return at similar volatility, a similar return with lower volatility, a higher Sharpe ratio with a smaller worst decline, a higher total return in most periods from 3 months to 10 years, or smaller losses in recent market crashes, and, for funds, the same exposure at a lower expense ratio. It checks BND's popular alternatives first, then the rest of its own and neighboring categories, then every stock and fund worth at least $500 million, and shows the strongest few in each group. The full list of those with a higher return and lower volatility than BND follows the table.
Annual return is the annualized total return with dividends reinvested. Annual return, volatility and the Sharpe ratio cover 5 years; the worst decline covers the past 10 years. Green marks a better figure than BND's. "On the frontier" means no other option shown or tested earned more with less volatility. Funds that hold the same thing are shown once. Beyond the popular alternatives, nothing with more than 1.5× BND's volatility counts as better.
These figures cover the past 5 years. Green marks a better figure than BND's.
| Investment | Why it is better | Past 5 years | Downside | Long run | Fit | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annual return?higher is better | Volatility?lower is calmer | Sharpe?return per unit of risk | Worst decline?past 10 years | 10Y returntotal | Corr. with BND?lower diversifies more | Expenseper year | |||
| −0.2% | 6.1% | 0.00 | −18.6% | +14.3% | 1.00 | 0.03% | |||
| +12.5% | 17.2% | 0.78 | −33.7% | +316% | 0.62 | 0.09% | |||
| Popular alternativesbest 2 shownThe investments people most often weigh against BND. 2 of 20 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
| On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst decline | +3.8% | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | — | 0.31 | 0.09% | ||
| Similar return, lower volatility | +0.5% | 4.2% | 0.14 | −13.7% | +19.1% | 0.91 | 0.05% | ||
| Same and neighboring categories, and shared themesbest 6 shownEverything else in US Aggregate Bonds and Investment Grade Bonds and the categories next to it (Core Plus Bonds, Total Bond Market, Multisector Bonds, US Corporate Bonds, Short-Term Corporate Bonds, High Yield Bonds), plus BND's specific themes. 55 of 105 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
VRIGInvesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF · Investment Grade Bonds | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +4.7% | 1.3% | 3.52 | −13.1% | +40.7% | 0.27 | 0.30% | |
SPSBState Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF · Short-Term Corporate Bonds | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +2.9% | 2.0% | 1.42 | −11.8% | +29.6% | 0.91 | 0.04% | |
GVIiShares Intermediate Government/Credit Bond ETF · Investment Grade Bonds | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +1.1% | 4.0% | 0.29 | −12.9% | +18.2% | 0.97 | 0.20% | |
IBHFiShares iBonds 2026 Term High Yield and Income ETF · High Yield Bonds | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +4.1% | 5.8% | 0.73 | −11.2% | — | 0.70 | 0.35% | |
AFIFAnfield Universal Fixed Income ETF · Multisector Bonds | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +3.6% | 4.5% | 0.83 | −10.8% | — | 0.73 | 0.85% | |
SJNKState Street SPDR Bloomberg Short Term High Yield Bond ETF · Short-Term High Yield | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +4.4% | 5.9% | 0.77 | −19.7% | +59.1% | 0.76 | 0.40% | |
| The whole marketbest 7 shownEvery other stock and fund worth at least $500 million. 108 of 3,536 passed at least one test. | |||||||||
JAAAJanus Henderson AAA CLO ETF · AAA CLO Debt | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +5.1% | 1.7% | 2.98 | −2.6% | — | 0.26 | 0.20% | |
BALTInnovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF · US Equity Buffer | On the frontierHigher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +6.2% | 3.3% | 1.84 | −4.9% | — | 0.62 | 0.69% | |
| Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +2.7% | 2.9% | 0.95 | −6.3% | +33.2% | 0.72 | 0.03% | ||
FLOTiShares Floating Rate Bond ETF · Floating Rate Bonds | Higher return, lower volatilityHigher Sharpe, smaller worst declineHigher return in most periods | +4.5% | 1.8% | 2.49 | −13.5% | +35.9% | 0.21 | 0.15% | |
VRPInvesco Variable Rate Preferred ETF · Preferred Securities | Higher return, similar volatilityHigher return in most periods | +3.8% | 6.6% | 0.61 | −46.0% | +57.1% | 0.65 | 0.50% | |
| Higher return in most periods | +5.2% | 8.9% | 0.62 | −25.4% | +38.1% | 0.37 | — | ||
IBMQiShares iBonds Dec 2028 Term Muni Bond ETF · Municipal Bonds | Similar return, lower volatility | +0.7% | 3.0% | 0.26 | −15.8% | — | 0.88 | 0.10% | |
What these numbers mean for BND
- Annual return
- BND lost 0.2% a year over the past 5 years with dividends reinvested, against 12.5% a year for the S&P 500. At that pace, $10,000 became about $9,900. Annual return is the steady yearly rate that would produce the same total result, so investments held over the same span compare fairly. Guide: What is performance and return? →
- Volatility
- BND's volatility over the past 5 years was 6.1%, 35% of the S&P 500's 17.2%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, BND's return lands within 6.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump. Guide: Understanding and measuring risk (volatility) →
- Sharpe ratio
- BND's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was -0.00, against 0.78 for the S&P 500, so BND earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings. Guide: Balancing reward with risk (Sharpe ratio) →
- Worst decline
- BND's worst fall from a peak to a low over the past 10 years was 18.6%, against 33.7% for the S&P 500. Losses and gains are not symmetric: climbing back from a 18.6% fall takes a 22.8% gain. Guide: Market crash risk and tail risk →
- Correlation
- Over the past 5 years, BND's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.62 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against BND instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a BND holding. Guide: Correlation and diversification →
Show all 101 stocks and funds worth at least $500 million that earned more than BND with less volatility
Out of 3,641 tested over 5 years. The strongest 48 are listed, best first, with funds that hold the same thing listed once.
| # | Investment | Found in | Annual return | Volatility | Sharpe | Worst decline | 10Y return | Corr. with BND | Expense |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Whole market | +3.7% | 0.3% | 14.07 | −0.2% | +25.8% | 0.27 | 0.14% | |
| 2 | JAAAJanus Henderson AAA CLO ETF · AAA CLO Debt | Whole market | +5.1% | 1.7% | 2.98 | −2.6% | — | 0.26 | 0.20% |
| 3 | BALTInnovator Defined Wealth Shield ETF · US Equity Buffer | Whole market | +6.2% | 3.3% | 1.84 | −4.9% | — | 0.62 | 0.69% |
| 4 | VRIGInvesco Variable Rate Investment Grade ETF · Investment Grade Bonds | Same or nearby category | +4.7% | 1.3% | 3.52 | −13.1% | +40.7% | 0.27 | 0.30% |
| 5 | Whole market | +2.7% | 2.9% | 0.95 | −6.3% | +33.2% | 0.72 | 0.03% | |
| 6 | FLOTiShares Floating Rate Bond ETF · Floating Rate Bonds | Whole market | +4.5% | 1.8% | 2.49 | −13.5% | +35.9% | 0.21 | 0.15% |
| 7 | Whole market | +1.8% | 2.8% | 0.67 | −8.5% | +21.0% | 0.93 | 0.03% | |
| 8 | SHYiShares 1-3 Year Treasury Bond ETF · Short-Term Treasuries | Whole market | +1.9% | 2.0% | 0.93 | −5.7% | +18.0% | 0.86 | 0.15% |
| 9 | VNLAJanus Henderson Short Duration Income ETF · Ultrashort Bonds | Whole market | +4.1% | 1.1% | 3.80 | −4.5% | — | 0.67 | 0.25% |
| 10 | STIPiShares 0-5 Year TIPS Bond ETF · Inflation-Protected Bonds | Whole market | +2.7% | 2.8% | 0.95 | −6.5% | +33.0% | 0.69 | 0.03% |
| 11 | SUBiShares Short-Term National Muni Bond ETF · Short-Term Municipal Bonds | Whole market | +1.5% | 1.7% | 0.91 | −9.4% | +16.2% | 0.84 | 0.07% |
| 12 | TBUXT. Rowe Price Ultra Short-Term Bond ETF · Ultrashort Bonds | Whole market | +4.2% | 1.1% | 3.88 | −1.8% | — | 0.66 | 0.17% |
| 13 | USTBVictoryShares Short-Term Bond ETF · Short-Term Bonds | Whole market | +3.6% | 2.1% | 1.77 | −5.3% | — | 0.88 | 0.34% |
| 14 | LMBSFirst Trust Low Duration Opportunities ETF · Mortgage-Backed Securities | Whole market | +3.1% | 2.6% | 1.17 | −6.5% | +25.9% | 0.90 | 0.66% |
| 15 | RAVINorthern Trust Ultra-Short Fixed Income ETF · Ultrashort Bonds | Whole market | +3.8% | 1.4% | 2.62 | −3.7% | +31.1% | 0.54 | 0.26% |
| 16 | SPSBState Street SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corporate Bond ETF · Short-Term Corporate Bonds | Same or nearby category | +2.9% | 2.0% | 1.42 | −11.8% | +29.6% | 0.91 | 0.04% |
| 17 | LDURPIMCO Enhanced Low Duration Active Exchange-Traded Fund · Short-Term Bonds | Whole market | +2.4% | 2.1% | 1.16 | −8.7% | +26.7% | 0.79 | 0.54% |
| 18 | STOTState Street DoubleLine Short Duration Total Return Tactical ETF · Short-Term Bonds | Whole market | +2.9% | 1.7% | 1.69 | −6.1% | +25.9% | 0.82 | 0.45% |
| 19 | SMMUPIMCO Short Term Municipal Bond Active Exchange-Traded Fund · Short-Term Municipal Bonds | Whole market | +2.0% | 1.7% | 1.16 | −5.1% | +20.5% | 0.92 | 0.35% |
| 20 | JPIBJPMorgan International Bond Opportunities ETF · International Bonds | Whole market | +2.6% | 4.2% | 0.63 | −13.1% | — | 0.87 | 0.50% |
| 21 | TIPXState Street SPDR Bloomberg 1-10 Year TIPS ETF · Inflation-Protected Bonds | Whole market | +1.6% | 4.7% | 0.36 | −10.1% | +31.3% | 0.82 | 0.15% |
| 22 | IBHFiShares iBonds 2026 Term High Yield and Income ETF · High Yield Bonds | Same or nearby category | +4.1% | 5.8% | 0.73 | −11.2% | — | 0.70 | 0.35% |
| 23 | AGZiShares Agency Bond ETF · Government Bonds | Whole market | +1.1% | 3.6% | 0.33 | −11.1% | +18.9% | 0.96 | 0.15% |
| 24 | FLRTPacer Aristotle Pacific Floating Rate High Income ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +6.0% | 2.3% | 2.55 | −20.9% | +58.7% | 0.40 | 0.60% |
| 25 | FLTRVanEck IG Floating Rate ETF · Floating Rate Bonds | Whole market | +4.8% | 2.1% | 2.21 | −17.8% | +42.1% | 0.18 | 0.14% |
| 26 | FLRNState Street SPDR Bloomberg Investment Grade Floating Rate ETF · Floating Rate Bonds | Whole market | +4.5% | 1.7% | 2.58 | −14.7% | +35.7% | 0.26 | 0.15% |
| 27 | BKLNInvesco Senior Loan ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +5.3% | 4.5% | 1.19 | −24.1% | +50.5% | 0.37 | 0.67% |
| 28 | SRLNState Street Blackstone Senior Loan ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +4.6% | 3.9% | 1.17 | −22.3% | +53.9% | 0.35 | 0.70% |
| 29 | FTSLFirst Trust Senior Loan Fund · Bank Loans | Whole market | +5.0% | 3.4% | 1.49 | −22.7% | +52.0% | 0.34 | 0.70% |
| 30 | IAGGiShares Core International Aggregate Bond ETF · International Bonds | Whole market | +1.2% | 4.5% | 0.28 | −13.9% | +21.7% | 0.86 | 0.07% |
| 31 | FLDRFidelity Low Duration Bond Factor ETF · Short-Term Bonds | Whole market | +3.9% | 1.2% | 3.13 | −12.2% | — | 0.82 | 0.15% |
| 32 | SHYGiShares 0-5 Year High Yield Corporate Bond ETF · Short-Term High Yield | Same or nearby category | +4.6% | 5.8% | 0.81 | −19.3% | +56.5% | 0.75 | 0.30% |
| 33 | FLBLFranklin Senior Loan ETF · Bank Loans | Whole market | +5.2% | 3.9% | 1.35 | −19.5% | — | 0.36 | 0.45% |
| 34 | SPIBState Street SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF · Investment Grade Bonds | Same or nearby category | +1.7% | 4.5% | 0.40 | −14.9% | +29.1% | 0.98 | 0.04% |
| 35 | LQDHiShares Interest Rate Hedged Corporate Bond ETF · Investment Grade Bonds | Same or nearby category | +5.2% | 4.4% | 1.20 | −24.6% | +55.7% | 0.57 | 0.44% |
| 36 | BSCQInvesco BulletShares 2026 Corporate Bond ETF · Defined Maturity Corporate Bonds | Same or nearby category | +1.9% | 3.3% | 0.60 | −16.4% | +33.4% | 0.85 | 0.10% |
| 37 | FLUDFranklin Ultra Short Bond ETF · Ultrashort Bonds | Whole market | +3.9% | 1.4% | 2.77 | −1.7% | — | 0.48 | 0.15% |
| 38 | IBDUiShares iBonds Dec 2029 Term Corporate ETF · Defined Maturity Corporate Bonds | Same or nearby category | +1.3% | 5.7% | 0.26 | −19.4% | — | 0.95 | 0.10% |
| 39 | JMUBJPMorgan Municipal ETF · National Investment Grade | Whole market | +0.9% | 3.5% | 0.26 | −12.5% | — | 0.91 | 0.18% |
| 40 | BSJQInvesco BulletShares 2026 High Yield Corporate Bond ETF · High Yield Bonds | Same or nearby category | +3.7% | 5.7% | 0.67 | −24.1% | — | 0.67 | 0.43% |
| 41 | NFLTVirtus Newfleet Multi-Sector Bond ETF · Multisector Bonds | Same or nearby category | +2.8% | 4.6% | 0.64 | −15.1% | +41.7% | 0.89 | 0.50% |
| 42 | UCONFirst Trust Smith Unconstrained Bond ETF · Multisector Bonds | Same or nearby category | +2.3% | 4.0% | 0.60 | −15.3% | — | 0.92 | 0.86% |
| 43 | PREFPrincipal Spectrum Preferred Securities Active ETF · Preferred Securities | Whole market | +2.5% | 4.9% | 0.52 | −23.0% | — | 0.73 | 0.55% |
| 44 | FLMIFranklin Dynamic Municipal Bond ETF · Municipal Bonds | Whole market | +1.6% | 4.6% | 0.36 | −14.6% | — | 0.92 | 0.30% |
| 45 | IBTGiShares iBonds Dec 2026 Term Treasury ETF · Target Maturity Treasuries | Whole market | +1.3% | 3.2% | 0.42 | −13.6% | — | 0.84 | 0.07% |
| 46 | PHYLPGIM Active High Yield Bond ETF · Active High Yield | Same or nearby category | +3.4% | 5.7% | 0.62 | −22.1% | — | 0.81 | 0.39% |
| 47 | KORPAmerican Century Diversified Corporate Bond ETF · Corporate Bonds | Whole market | +1.5% | 5.5% | 0.29 | −14.9% | — | 0.98 | 0.29% |
| 48 | IBMPiShares iBonds Dec 2027 Term Muni Bond ETF · Municipal Bonds | Whole market | +0.8% | 2.6% | 0.34 | −15.3% | — | 0.85 | 0.10% |
BND against its popular alternatives
The investments people most often weigh against BND, compared period by period and year by year.
How do BND's risk and return compare with its alternatives?
This map plots each investment's annual return over the past 5 years against its volatility, the size of its typical price swings. Investments toward the upper left earned more for a smoother ride, and those toward the lower right earned less for a rougher one. The dashed lines cross at BND, which divides the map into what did better or worse on each measure.
- Nine of the 17 popular alternatives, led by SGOV, JCPB and MUB, were both more rewarding and calmer than BND over the past 5 years, earning a higher annual return with lower volatility.
- Over the past 5 years, BND returned -0.2% a year, less than the S&P 500's 12.5%, with lower volatility (6.1% against 17.2%).
Green points earned more than BND with less volatility; red points earned less with more. Hover over a point for its figures. Total returns with dividends reinvested, annualized.
All figures
| Investment | Annual return | Volatility |
|---|---|---|
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | +12.5% | 17.2% |
| SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | +3.8% | 0.3% |
| HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | +3.3% | 7.5% |
| JCPB JPMorgan Core Plus Bond ETF | +0.8% | 5.5% |
| MUB iShares National Muni Bond ETF | +0.5% | 4.2% |
| FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF | +0.5% | 6.0% |
| TOTL State Street DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF | +0.3% | 5.7% |
| UITB VictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETF | +0.3% | 5.7% |
| IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | +0.2% | 5.9% |
| BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | +0.2% | 4.9% |
| BOND PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund | +0.2% | 5.9% |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF | +0.1% | 6.5% |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 0.0% | 6.2% |
| VTC Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF | 0.0% | 7.1% |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | −0.1% | 6.2% |
| SCHZ Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | −0.1% | 6.2% |
| BND This pageVanguard Total Bond Market ETF | −0.2% | 6.1% |
| GTO Invesco Total Return Bond ETF | −0.3% | 5.7% |
| GOVT iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF | −0.6% | 6.0% |
Has BND consistently beaten its popular alternatives?
This section compares BND with the investments people most often weigh against it, checking each one over eight periods from one month to ten years. Counting how often an alternative earned more than BND helps separate lasting outperformance from a single strong stretch.
- None of the 21 popular alternatives outperformed BND in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes. The closest was HYG.
- SGOV, JCPB and MUB earned more for the risk they took than BND (a higher Sharpe ratio) and fell less in their worst decline of the past 10 years.
- BIV outperformed BND over all three long-term periods but in none of the five short-term ones, so BND has had the better of it lately.
A green cell means the alternative earned more than BND over that period. "Qualified" marks those that did so in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods.
| Investment | Periods outperformed | Short term | Long term | Risk · 5 years | Fund | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1M | 3M | 6M | YTD | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Volatilitylower is calmer | Sharpehigher is better | Worst declinepast 10 years | Expense | Assets | Overlapsame sectors | ||
| BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (this page) | — | +0.3% | −0.7% | −1.7% | −1.0% | −1.4% | +16.3% | −1.0% | +14.3% | 6.1% | 0.00 | −18.6% | 0.03% | $389B | — |
| HYG BondsiShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 2/5 short3/3 long | −1.6% | −1.6% | −1.3% | −0.1% | +1.4% | +27.5% | +17.7% | +49.9% | 7.5% | 0.47 | −22.0% | 0.49% | $17B | — |
| IUSB BondsiShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | 1/5 short3/3 long | 0.0% | −0.6% | −1.5% | −0.7% | −0.9% | +18.0% | +1.1% | +17.8% | 5.9% | 0.07 | −17.9% | 0.06% | $49B | — |
| FBND IndustrialsFidelity Total Bond ETF | 0/5 short3/3 long | −0.1% | −0.8% | −1.7% | −0.9% | −1.3% | +18.5% | +2.4% | +23.1% | 6.0% | 0.11 | −17.3% | 0.36% | $28B | — |
| BOND BondsPIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund | 0/5 short3/3 long | +0.1% | −0.9% | −1.9% | −0.9% | −1.1% | +20.3% | +0.8% | +20.5% | 5.9% | 0.06 | −19.7% | 0.56% | $8.5B | — |
| BIV BondsVanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF | 0/5 short3/3 long | +0.2% | −0.9% | −2.2% | −1.7% | −1.9% | +17.3% | +0.3% | +16.8% | 6.5% | 0.04 | −18.9% | 0.03% | $50B | — |
| BNDX BondsVanguard Total International Bond ETF | 2/5 short2/3 long | +0.1% | −0.7% | −0.8% | −0.4% | −1.3% | +13.4% | +1.0% | +15.4% | 4.9% | 0.06 | −16.2% | 0.07% | $122B | — |
| JCPB BondsJPMorgan Core Plus Bond ETF | 2/5 short2/3 long | 0.0% | −0.7% | −1.5% | −0.5% | −0.6% | +20.2% | +4.0% | — | 5.5% | 0.17 | −16.7% | 0.40% | $16B | — |
| TIP BondsiShares TIPS Bond ETF | 1/5 short2/3 long | +0.7% | −0.6% | −1.3% | +0.1% | −1.1% | +14.2% | +0.1% | +24.6% | 6.2% | 0.03 | −14.5% | 0.18% | $14B | — |
| GTO BondsInvesco Total Return Bond ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | −0.4% | −1.1% | −1.8% | −1.0% | −1.1% | +18.6% | −1.5% | +26.6% | 5.7% | -0.02 | −20.6% | 0.35% | $2.5B | — |
| MUB BondsiShares National Muni Bond ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | +0.8% | −1.7% | −2.2% | −1.4% | −0.9% | +11.8% | +2.6% | +19.1% | 4.2% | 0.14 | −13.7% | 0.05% | $51B | — |
| SCHZ BondsSchwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | +0.2% | −0.5% | −1.5% | −0.8% | −1.2% | +16.8% | −0.8% | +16.1% | 6.2% | 0.01 | −18.7% | 0.03% | $11B | — |
| TOTL BondsState Street DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | +0.2% | −0.9% | −2.4% | −2.0% | −2.1% | +17.7% | +1.7% | +13.5% | 5.7% | 0.09 | −16.5% | 0.55% | $3.7B | — |
| FIGB BondsFidelity Investment Grade Bond ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | 0.0% | −0.8% | −1.9% | −1.1% | −1.6% | +16.9% | −0.4% | — | 6.4% | 0.02 | −18.1% | 0.36% | $634M | — |
| UITB BondsVictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | +0.1% | −0.7% | −1.6% | −0.9% | −1.2% | +17.1% | +1.6% | — | 5.7% | 0.09 | −17.0% | 0.38% | $2.6B | — |
| VTC BondsVanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF | 0/5 short2/3 long | −0.1% | −1.0% | −2.2% | −1.4% | −2.0% | +19.5% | −0.2% | — | 7.1% | 0.03 | −22.1% | 0.03% | $1.6B | — |
| SGOV BondsiShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 4/5 short1/3 long | +0.3% | +0.6% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +3.4% | +13.8% | +20.3% | — | 0.3% | 13.25 | −0.3% | 0.09% | $116B | — |
| AGG BondsiShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 0/5 short1/3 long | +0.2% | −0.5% | −1.5% | −0.8% | −1.2% | +16.8% | −0.6% | +14.4% | 6.2% | 0.01 | −18.4% | 0.03% | $139B | — |
| CGCP BondsCapital Group Core Plus Income ETF | 0/5 short1/3 long | −0.2% | −0.8% | −1.9% | −1.2% | −1.2% | +18.9% | — | — | — | — | −15.1% | 0.34% | $8.4B | — |
| GOVT BondsiShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF | 2/5 short0/3 long | +0.5% | −0.2% | −1.2% | −0.7% | −1.3% | +13.2% | −2.8% | +8.2% | 6.0% | -0.07 | −19.1% | 0.05% | $42B | — |
| SPAB BondsState Street SPDR Portfolio Aggregate Bond ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | +0.2% | −0.5% | −1.6% | −0.8% | −1.2% | +16.7% | −0.7% | +14.3% | 6.0% | 0.01 | −18.5% | 0.03% | $10B | — |
| BBAG BondsJPMorgan BetaBuilders U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 0/5 short0/3 long | +0.2% | −0.5% | −1.6% | −0.8% | −1.2% | +16.6% | −1.1% | — | 6.0% | -0.03 | −18.9% | 0.03% | $981M | — |
How did BND do year by year?
This table shows each investment's total return in every full calendar year since 2008, along with where BND ranked among its popular alternatives each year. Annual results reveal how consistently each one kept pace with BND and how far its good and bad years diverged, detail that multiyear averages tend to smooth over.
Note: BND began trading on April 10, 2007, so the table starts with 2008, its first full calendar year, and cannot show how it fared during the dot-com bust.
- BND finished ahead of the S&P 500 in four of its 18 full calendar years, and behind it in each of the last three.
- Among its popular alternatives, JCPB came out ahead of BND most often, in five of the six years both traded.
- Ranked against its popular alternatives each year, BND finished in the top quarter in no of 18 years and in the bottom quarter in two. In 2025, it ranked 13 of 18.
Newest year first. Green marks a year in which the fund came out ahead of BND; gray means the two finished within a fraction of a point. The rank row places BND among the alternatives that traded the full year; dark green is the top quarter and red the bottom quarter.
| Investment | Years ahead of BND | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | 2013 | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2008 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND This pageVanguard Total Bond Market ETF | — | +7.1% | +1.4% | +5.7% | −13.1% | −1.9% | +7.7% | +8.8% | −0.1% | +3.6% | +2.5% | +0.6% | +5.8% | −2.1% | +3.9% | +7.9% | +6.2% | +3.6% | +6.9% |
| Rank among alternatives | Top quarter in 0 of 18 | 13 of 18 | 15 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 12 of 18 | 16 of 18 | 8 of 17 | 8 of 16 | 8 of 16 | 8 of 14 | 8 of 13 | 6 of 12 | 7 of 10 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 7 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 14 of 18 | +17.7% | +24.9% | +26.2% | −18.2% | +28.7% | +18.3% | +31.2% | −4.6% | +21.7% | +12.0% | +1.2% | +13.5% | +32.3% | +16.0% | +1.9% | +15.1% | +26.4% | −36.8% |
| HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 12 of 18 | +8.6% | +8.0% | +11.6% | −11.0% | +3.8% | +4.5% | +14.1% | −2.0% | +6.1% | +13.4% | −5.0% | +1.9% | +5.7% | +11.7% | +6.7% | +11.9% | +28.5% | −17.6% |
| IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | 4 of 11 | +7.4% | +2.1% | +6.2% | −13.0% | −1.3% | +7.6% | +9.1% | −0.3% | +3.8% | +4.0% | +0.4% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF | 7 of 11 | +7.6% | +2.1% | +6.8% | −12.5% | −0.4% | +9.4% | +9.8% | −0.6% | +3.5% | +6.7% | −1.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| BOND PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund | 8 of 13 | +8.4% | +2.8% | +6.5% | −14.6% | −0.8% | +7.8% | +8.5% | +0.4% | +4.8% | +2.8% | +1.2% | +6.6% | −1.3% | — | — | — | — | — |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF | 8 of 18 | +8.5% | +1.6% | +6.1% | −13.2% | −2.4% | +9.7% | +10.3% | −0.2% | +3.6% | +2.3% | +1.0% | +6.7% | −3.6% | +6.7% | +11.1% | +9.1% | +3.9% | +7.8% |
| BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 6 of 12 | +2.9% | +3.6% | +8.8% | −12.8% | −2.3% | +4.6% | +7.8% | +2.8% | +2.4% | +4.6% | +1.2% | +8.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| JCPB JPMorgan Core Plus Bond ETF | 5 of 6 | +8.0% | +2.9% | +7.1% | −12.9% | −0.5% | +9.2% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 7 of 18 | +6.8% | +1.7% | +3.8% | −12.3% | +5.7% | +10.8% | +8.4% | −1.4% | +2.9% | +4.7% | −1.8% | +3.6% | −8.5% | +6.4% | +13.3% | +6.1% | +8.9% | +0.1% |
| GTO Invesco Total Return Bond ETF | 5 of 11 | +7.2% | +2.6% | +6.0% | −14.8% | −0.4% | +10.8% | +11.7% | −0.8% | +7.4% | — | — | — | — | −50.0% | −14.3% | — | — | — |
| MUB iShares National Muni Bond ETF | 7 of 18 | +3.8% | +1.3% | +5.6% | −7.3% | +1.0% | +5.1% | +7.0% | +0.9% | +4.7% | −0.2% | +2.3% | +6.4% | −6.2% | +2.2% | +9.2% | −3.5% | +3.2% | −2.1% |
| SCHZ Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 1 of 14 | +7.2% | +1.3% | +5.6% | −13.2% | −1.7% | +7.4% | +8.7% | −0.1% | +5.4% | +2.2% | +0.4% | +6.3% | −2.0% | +3.4% | — | — | — | — |
| TOTL State Street DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF | 5 of 10 | +7.7% | +3.1% | +5.6% | −11.6% | −1.0% | +3.6% | +6.9% | +0.8% | +3.5% | +2.8% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| UITB VictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETF | 4 of 8 | +7.3% | +1.8% | +6.5% | −12.2% | −0.9% | +7.5% | +11.4% | −1.3% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| VTC Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF | 4 of 8 | +7.6% | +2.1% | +8.6% | −15.7% | −1.4% | +9.3% | +14.6% | −2.5% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3 of 5 | +4.2% | +5.3% | +5.1% | +1.6% | +0.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 1 of 18 | +7.2% | +1.3% | +5.7% | −13.0% | −1.8% | +7.5% | +8.5% | +0.1% | +3.6% | +2.4% | +0.5% | +6.0% | −2.0% | +3.8% | +7.7% | +6.3% | +3.0% | +7.9% |
| GOVT iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF | 2 of 13 | +3.8% | +3.0% | +4.2% | −13.4% | −1.1% | +7.3% | +7.3% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +0.8% | +0.9% | +4.7% | −2.5% | — | — | — | — | — |
Risk and diversification
How BND has fallen, how it held up in crashes beside the S&P 500 and its popular alternatives, and what moves independently of it.
What were BND's worst declines?
A drawdown is the decline from a peak to the lowest point before a new high. This section presents BND's four deepest drawdowns since it began trading in 2007, alongside the S&P 500's return over the same dates, and how long each took to recover. Together, these figures show how much an investor could have lost and how long it took to get back to even.
Note: BND began trading on April 10, 2007, so this list cannot include the dot-com bust. The crash tests on this page show how older funds and the S&P 500 fared through those years.
- Not every decline was the market's doing: BND fell 18.6% from August 2020 to October 2022, while the S&P 500 rose 13.0%.
- In two of BND's four worst declines, it fell less than the S&P 500 did over the same dates.
- None of these declines kept BND below its old high for long; the longest climb back took eight months.
Green means BND fell less than the S&P 500 over the same dates. Based on daily closing prices with dividends reinvested.
| During | BND fell | S&P 500, same dates | Peak | Low | Time to the low | Back at the peak | Time to recover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 bear market | −18.6% | +13.0% | Aug 2020 | Oct 2022 | 2.2 years | Not yet | — |
| 2008 financial crisis | −9.3% | −25.9% | Sep 2008 | Oct 2008 | 1 month | Dec 2008 | 2 months |
| Covid crash | −8.7% | −16.6% | Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | Under a month | May 2020 | 2 months |
| No named crash | −5.2% | +4.4% | May 2013 | Sep 2013 | 4 months | May 2014 | 8 months |
How did BND do in stock market crashes?
This section measures how far BND, the S&P 500 and each alternative fell from peak to trough during every major market crash since 2000. A smaller decline means an investment held up better, and comparing results across crashes shows whether that resilience was consistent or a one-off.
Note: BND began trading on April 10, 2007, so its row reads "Not yet trading" for the dot-com bust. The older alternatives and the S&P 500 show how those crashes played out.
- BND fell less than the S&P 500 in all nine crashes it has traded through. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when BND fell 9.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
- None of its popular alternatives fell less than BND in most of the crashes they both traded through.
Newest crash first. Each figure is the fund's deepest fall within the crash window; green means a smaller fall than BND.
| Investment | Held up better | 2023 regional bank crisisMar 2023 | 2022 bear marketJan 2022 | Covid crashFeb 2020 | Late-2018 sell-offSep 2018 | February 2018 volatility shockFeb 2018 | 2015 China and oil sell-offAug 2015 | 2011 euro debt crisisJul 2011 | 2010 flash crashMay 2010 | 2008 financial crisisOct 2007 | Dot-com bustMar 2000 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND This pageVanguard Total Bond Market ETF | — | 0.0% | −14.6% | −8.7% | −1.1% | −0.9% | −1.5% | −1.1% | −0.2% | −9.3% | Not yet trading |
| SPY S&P 500State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 0 of 9 | −3.4% | −24.5% | −33.7% | −19.3% | −6.5% | −12.8% | −17.9% | −1.5% | −55.2% | −47.5% |
| HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 0 of 9 | −1.1% | −15.3% | −22.0% | −6.4% | −1.5% | −10.5% | −9.8% | 0.0% | −34.2% | — |
| IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | 0 of 6 | 0.0% | −14.8% | −9.9% | −1.1% | −0.8% | −1.7% | — | — | — | — |
| FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF | 0 of 6 | 0.0% | −14.4% | −16.1% | −1.1% | −1.4% | −3.2% | — | — | — | — |
| BOND PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund | 0 of 6 | 0.0% | −16.5% | −10.9% | −1.1% | −0.7% | −1.8% | — | — | — | — |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −15.3% | −9.2% | −1.0% | −0.7% | −2.3% | −1.6% | 0.0% | −13.6% | — |
| BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 3 of 6 | 0.0% | −13.7% | −5.9% | −0.8% | −0.2% | −1.1% | — | — | — | — |
| JCPB JPMorgan Core Plus Bond ETF | 1 of 3 | 0.0% | −14.3% | −6.1% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −14.3% | −11.2% | −2.0% | −1.1% | −2.5% | −3.8% | −0.2% | −14.4% | — |
| GTO Invesco Total Return Bond ETF | 1 of 8 | 0.0% | −17.2% | −11.3% | −2.8% | −0.9% | 0.0% | −31.8% | −5.3% | — | — |
| MUB iShares National Muni Bond ETF | 3 of 9 | 0.0% | −10.6% | −13.7% | −1.4% | −0.2% | −0.8% | −1.4% | −0.1% | −13.9% | — |
| SCHZ Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 0 of 7 | 0.0% | −14.6% | −10.3% | −1.1% | −0.7% | −1.6% | −1.4% | — | — | — |
| TOTL State Street DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF | 2 of 6 | 0.0% | −13.2% | −7.3% | −0.7% | −0.6% | −1.3% | — | — | — | — |
| UITB VictoryShares Core Intermediate Bond ETF | 1 of 5 | 0.0% | −13.9% | −8.7% | −1.1% | −0.7% | — | — | — | — | — |
| VTC Vanguard Total Corporate Bond ETF | 0 of 5 | 0.0% | −18.5% | −19.7% | −1.8% | −1.1% | — | — | — | — | — |
| SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 1 of 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 0 of 9 | 0.0% | −14.5% | −9.6% | −1.1% | −0.8% | −1.5% | −1.3% | −0.4% | −12.8% | — |
| GOVT iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF | 3 of 6 | 0.0% | −13.0% | −4.6% | −0.9% | −0.3% | −2.1% | — | — | — | — |
How closely does BND move with the S&P 500?
Upside capture measures how much of the S&P 500's gains an investment kept in the months the market rose, and downside capture how much of its losses it took in the months the market fell. An investment that captures more of the gains than the losses has compounded ahead of the market over time. This section compares BND with its popular alternatives on both measures, and on beta (how strongly each has moved with the market), over the past 10 years.
- Over the past 10 years, BND captured 13% of the S&P 500's gains in rising months and 19% of its losses in falling months, with a beta of 0.15. Its share of the market's losses was slightly larger than its share of the gains.
- 12 of the 13 popular alternatives had a higher capture ratio (upside capture divided by downside capture) than BND's 0.69, led by TIP, HYG and BNDX.
- BNDX took just 13% of the S&P 500's losses, against 19% for BND, while still keeping 11% of its gains.
Monthly total returns over the past 10 years, measured against SPY. 100% capture or a beta of 1.00 means moving in line with the S&P 500. Green marks a better figure than BND's: more upside, less downside or a higher capture ratio. Sorted by capture ratio.
| Investment | Upside capture | Downside capture | Capture ratio | Beta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND This pageVanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 13% | 19% | 0.69 | 0.15 |
| TIP iShares TIPS Bond ETF | 15% | 17% | 0.87 | 0.18 |
| HYG iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF | 34% | 40% | 0.84 | 0.39 |
| BNDX Vanguard Total International Bond ETF | 11% | 13% | 0.83 | 0.14 |
| FBND Fidelity Total Bond ETF | 17% | 21% | 0.80 | 0.18 |
| GTO Invesco Total Return Bond ETF | 19% | 24% | 0.80 | 0.22 |
| MUB iShares National Muni Bond ETF | 14% | 18% | 0.76 | 0.14 |
| IUSB iShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF | 15% | 20% | 0.74 | 0.16 |
| BIV Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF | 13% | 18% | 0.74 | 0.15 |
| BOND PIMCO Active Bond Exchange-Traded Fund | 16% | 22% | 0.73 | 0.19 |
| SCHZ Schwab U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 14% | 20% | 0.71 | 0.16 |
| AGG iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF | 12% | 17% | 0.71 | 0.14 |
| GOVT iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF | 6% | 8% | 0.71 | 0.06 |
| TOTL State Street DoubleLine Total Return Tactical ETF | 13% | 18% | 0.69 | 0.15 |
What diversifies BND?
Correlation measures how closely two investments move together, on a scale from 1 (in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to -1 (in opposite directions). This section lists large ETFs and stocks whose returns have had a low correlation with BND's. Because such investments tend not to fall at the same time, pairing BND with them can reduce a portfolio's overall swings.
- Moving a fifth of the money in BND into DBA would have cut the portfolio's volatility by 11% over the past 5 years and raised its annual return (-0.7% for BND alone, +1.6% for the mix).
- FIX made money in four of the four calendar years in which BND lost money.
- Among large ETFs, DXJ, EMLP and XLE have moved largely independently of BND over the past 5 years, with correlations of 0.49 or lower, and each still earned a positive 5-year return.
Only ETFs with at least $1.0B in assets and stocks worth at least $10B, with a correlation below 0.5 over the past 5 years and a positive return, are included, ranked by Sharpe ratio; funds that hold the same thing are shown once. The year columns are the years in which BND lost money. The last two columns show a portfolio that is 80% BND and 20% the other investment, rebalanced monthly.
ETFs
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (this page) | 1.00 | −1.0% | 0.00 | −13.1% | −1.9% | −0.1% | −2.1% | 6.5% | −0.7% |
| DXJ InternationalWisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity Fund | 0.24 | +225% | 1.34 | +6.0% | +18.0% | −19.8% | +41.3% | 6.3% | +4.5% |
| EMLP Broad MarketFirst Trust North American Energy Infrastructure Fund | 0.49 | +103% | 1.06 | +10.4% | +23.1% | −8.7% | +16.6% | 7.1% | +2.5% |
| XLE EnergyState Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF | 0.10 | +178% | 0.94 | +64.4% | +53.3% | −18.2% | +26.3% | 7.7% | +4.2% |
| GLD CommoditiesSPDR Gold Shares | 0.41 | +120% | 0.93 | −0.8% | −4.2% | −1.9% | −28.3% | 7.3% | +3.1% |
| SPMO Broad MarketInvesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | 0.42 | +130% | 0.91 | −10.4% | +22.7% | −0.9% | — | 7.8% | +3.7% |
| AMLP EnergyAlerian MLP ETF | 0.22 | +114% | 0.90 | +25.5% | +39.1% | −12.6% | +18.6% | 7.0% | +3.1% |
| DBA AlternativesInvesco DB Agriculture Fund | 0.07 | +66.7% | 0.81 | +2.5% | +22.3% | −8.7% | −13.2% | 5.8% | +1.6% |
| PTLC Broad MarketPacer Trendpilot US Large Cap ETF | 0.47 | +56.0% | 0.81 | −8.6% | +27.0% | +1.5% | — | 6.6% | +1.5% |
Stocks
| Investment | Correlation | 5Y return | Sharpe | 2022 | 2021 | 2018 | 2013 | 80/20 mix volatility | 80/20 mix annual return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (this page) | 1.00 | −1.0% | 0.00 | −13.1% | −1.9% | −0.1% | −2.1% | 6.5% | −0.7% |
| CAH Medical - DistributionCardinal Health, Inc. | 0.24 | +471% | 1.54 | +54.1% | −0.4% | −24.5% | +66.0% | 8.2% | +6.6% |
| CLS Hardware, Equipment & PartsCelestica Inc. | 0.10 | +2,780% | 1.43 | +1.3% | +37.9% | −16.3% | +27.6% | 13.3% | +18.5% |
| MCK Medical - DistributionMcKesson Corporation | 0.11 | +397% | 1.41 | +51.8% | +44.2% | −28.4% | +67.7% | 7.6% | +6.1% |
| FIX Engineering & ConstructionComfort Systems USA, Inc. | 0.19 | +1,452% | 1.41 | +17.0% | +89.0% | +0.8% | +61.7% | 11.2% | +14.7% |
| MPC Oil & Gas Refining & MarketingMarathon Petroleum Corporation | 0.09 | +660% | 1.39 | +86.6% | +61.0% | −8.2% | +48.6% | 8.6% | +8.6% |
Common questions
What was BND's worst drawdown?
BND's deepest decline since it began trading in 2007 was 18.6%, from August 2020 to October 2022. It has not yet climbed back to that peak. Because BND launched in April 2007, that record does not include the dot-com bust.
What were BND's best and worst years?
Over 18 full calendar years, BND's best year was 2019, when it returned 8.8%. Its worst was 2022, with a return of -13.1%.
Is there a better investment than BND?
Among BND's popular alternatives, SGOV earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years: 3.8% a year at 0.3% volatility, against a loss of 0.2% a year at 6.1%. Looking beyond its popular alternatives, VRIG (investment grade bonds) and SPSB (short-term corporate bonds) earned more than BND with less volatility over the past 5 years. VRIG returned 4.7% a year at 1.3% volatility, against a loss of 0.2% a year at 6.1%.
Is BND more volatile than the S&P 500?
No. BND's volatility over the past 5 years was 6.1%, 35% of the S&P 500's 17.2%. Volatility measures how widely returns swing around their average: in roughly two years out of three, BND's return lands within 6.1% of its average, either way. The higher it is, the rougher the ride and the harder it is to hold through a slump.
What is BND's Sharpe ratio?
BND's Sharpe ratio over the past 5 years was -0.00, against 0.78 for the S&P 500, so BND earned less for each unit of risk than an index fund did. The Sharpe ratio is the return earned above cash for each unit of volatility: two investments with the same return are not equal if one got there with far bigger swings.
How correlated is BND with the S&P 500?
Over the past 5 years, BND's monthly returns had a correlation of 0.62 with the S&P 500. Correlation runs from 1 (moving in lockstep) through 0 (unrelated) to −1 (moving in opposite directions). They often move together: some diversification next to an index fund, but not a cushion. In the table, the correlation column measures each option against BND instead: the lower it is, the more that option would diversify a BND holding.
What are the best alternatives to BND?
None of the 21 popular alternatives we compared outperformed BND in at least 3 of 5 short-term and 2 of 3 long-term timeframes, which says more about BND's strength than about its alternatives.
Did BND outperform the S&P 500?
BND finished ahead of the S&P 500 (SPY) in four of 18 full calendar years. In 2025, it returned +7.1%, against +17.7% for the index.
How did BND do in stock market crashes?
BND fell less than the S&P 500 (SPY) in nine of the nine major crashes it has traded through, and further in no. The clearest case was the 2008 financial crisis, when BND fell 9.3% and the S&P 500 fell 55.2%.
What diversifies BND?
These had a low correlation with BND over the past 5 years and still earned a positive 5-year return: among large ETFs, DXJ (correlation 0.24), EMLP (correlation 0.49) and XLE (correlation 0.10); among large stocks, CAH (correlation 0.24), CLS (correlation 0.10) and MCK (correlation 0.11). A correlation near zero means the two have moved largely independently.
How we measure
- Short-term periods are 1M, 3M, 6M, YTD, 1Y; long-term periods are 3Y, 5Y, 10Y. An investment outperformed in a period when its total return, with dividends reinvested, was higher than BND's. Returns within 0.5 points or 3% of BND's, whichever is larger, count as a tie.
- "Qualified" means outperforming in at least 3 of 5 short-term periods and 2 of 3 long-term periods. "All-weather" means outperforming in every long-term period and all but one short-term period.
- Popular alternatives are the funds and stocks most often compared with this one. We include only those that trade today, are not leveraged or inverse, and hold at least $200 million.
- Volatility is the annualized standard deviation of daily returns over 5 years, a measure of how much the price typically swings in a year. The Sharpe ratio is the return above cash for each unit of that volatility.
- A decline, or drawdown, runs from a peak to the lowest close before the next high. The worst decline ever uses all the price history we have; comparisons between funds use the past 10 years so that younger funds are judged on the same stretch.
- Sector overlap is the share of assets two funds hold in the same sectors. Correlation and the mixed-portfolio figures use monthly returns.
- Upside and downside capture follow Morningstar's definition: the compound monthly return in the months the S&P 500 rose (or fell), divided by the S&P 500's compound return in those months. Beta measures how strongly monthly returns have moved with the S&P 500. All three use the same window for every investment.
- Figures are computed from daily adjusted prices and update after each trading day. Past performance does not predict future results.
More research
Popular alternatives to BND
IUSBiShares Core Universal USD Bond ETF
BIVVanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF
BNDXVanguard Total International Bond ETF
MUBiShares National Muni Bond ETF
SGOViShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
AGGiShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF
GOVTiShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF